Over the last several weeks Dick Cheney has been doing the political talk-show circuit. A couple of weeks ago on Face the Nation Cheney took what appeared to be a cheap shot at Colin Powell by suggesting Powell is no longer a member of the Republican party. As night follows day, Rush Limbaugh was quoted as saying that “Colin Powell represents the stale, the old, the worn-out GOP that never won anything” (source CNN). Even Bill Clinton jumped in with a brief comment linking Cheney and a need for target practice in the same sentence. Enter stage left – one General Colin Powell.
With 17 mins. on Face the Nation Powell delivers a message wrapped up in some serious statesmanship and just a touch of diplomacy (part 1/2, part 2/2).
And now things get interesting with the release of a CNN poll:
The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey, released Monday, suggests that 70 percent have a favorable opinion of Powell, who was Secretary of State during President George W. Bush’s first term, and who served as Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff during the Persian Gulf War. Only 30 percent of those polled have a favorable view of Limbaugh, the popular conservative radio talk show host, with 53 percent saying they hold an unfavorable opinion.
In poll numbers released Thursday, 37 percent say they have a favorable opinion of Dick Cheney, with 55 percent indicating they hold an unfavorable view of the former vice president.
Among Republicans, it’s a different story. The poll suggests that 66 percent of Republicans have a favorable view of Cheney, 64 percent give Powell a thumbs up, and 62 view Limbaugh in a favorable way.
One has ask the question – will Powell be the man to lead the GOP out of the wilderness? All of a sudden the minority party just got interesting (and just maybe Time Magazine have an answer).

661 replies on “Swings and Roundabouts”
NBC: Sonia Sotamayor picked for US Supreme Court
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22425001/vp/30940308#30940308
If confirmed, Sotomayor would be the Supreme Court’s first ever Hispanic.
Catrina more.. You beauty!!!! Sonia Sotamayor
=============================
The Huffington Post
Brilliant!! He didn’t cave in. Obama passed this challenge with flying colours.
Female vote up, Hispanic vote up. What more can I ask?
I particularly like this bit.
The Huffington Post
Damn! Wrong user name.
Chris B at 2, 3, 4 and 5
Don’t sweat it – I’m looking after you!
π
NYT: Obama Selects Sotomayor for Court
Powell certainly would be a pretty good choice. However, while the majority of Republican voters might like him, I do not think that he has strength within the party at the moment. This could be a problem for him. While I am sure that he has allies, they must basically be a rump now.
Given, though, that it is the Republican voters that pick the presidential candidates and not the Republican Party machine, he could have a very good chance. I wonder how well he fundraises?
Powell appears to be a decent man, but he is too linked to Iraq.
6 Catrina Thanks. The only reason I grizzle is, it goes into jail first.
jen,
Imagine that Hillary, as Secretary of State, objects to specific policies that Obama is putting forward. Is it her job to oppose him once those policies are decided or is it her job to do her best to push those policies through? Sure, she can argue her case to him in private. But publically, what is her job?
This is how I see Colin Powell. The War Within the Whitehouse was an excellent documentary. Powell came out of it looking principled and loyal, unusual in this day and age. He fought the battle behind closed doors. He lost. And then he went out and did his job.
Severely wedged.
=============
More on The Huffington Post
Sonya was the obvious choice. But Obama choosing moderates for various posts had me a little worried. But hey, everything’s going great for Obama forgive me for a little paranoia occasionally.
Powell knowingly misled the UN and the world.
I hope the right wing nutbags get their candidate (not Powell) and destroy their party in the process.
asanque,
I guess I am just way more cynical than you. π
I hope that the Republicans gradually recover, move more to the centre, and become a decent opposition party that always comes close to winning elections but never quite does …
14 and 15 DG
Definitely far more forgiving then me π
The republicans have reached the stage of implosion and thoroughly deserved.
Hopefully, this will give the Democrats the opportunity to move further left (which would still be far right by Australian standards)
asanque,
It’s cynicism. Low expectations mean that I am rarely disappointed. π
In a democracy, a strong opposition is required. Look at the horror that is New South Wales …
13
asanque
That’s not correct, Powell did NOT knowingly mislead anyone, in fact it was he who was mislead. Even as George Tenet was putting together Powell’s UN speech, he was being asked by Powell if it all stacked up ie was it all verified information. Despite the fact that one senior CIA operative had deep misgivings about the Curveball story, and rang Tenet to say so, Tenet brushed him off in his rush to give Cheney/Rumsfeld what they desperately wanted. That figleaf for war was presented to Powell as good intelligence, but Powell even then was suspicious, and demanded that Tenet be in the camera frame behind him during the entire UN presentation.
When Powell was finally informed that Curveball’s story was fabricated and that the other supposed credible informants who backed him up were worse (and couched by Ahmed Chalabi!), he hit the friggin’ roof.
He may have suspected he was being used, and I’ve little doubt he always reserved a bit of suspicion that way, but he was in no position to disprove or even question what the CIA presented him with.
It may have galled him to be used, but he really had no choice.
Is Powell the Turnbull of the Republican party? A moderate in a party that’s so riven with loopy fruits that he just does not stand a chance of pulling it all together?
Interesting parallel.
that’s “coached by Ahmed Chalabi” above! LOL
…a pretty funny typo!
While there is no doubt Powell was espousing the stuff he was given to espouse at the UN he isn’t exactly what he is currently being projected to be.
Colin Powell has a history of blindly doing his superiors bidding on more than one occasion.
The first blot on his copybook was the My Lai Massacre in Vietnam where he was instremental in attempts to whitewash the issue.
He was also in the forefront of the Iran Contragate issue as well.
Some US veterans organisations are not overly impressed with General Powell and if he wished to go places i would suggest he may get there quick on some swift boats.
He is definitely a yes man when he is doing his bosses bidding when he should know better.
http://www.usvetdsp.com/story13.htm
For anyone not old enough to remember it.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/My_Lai_massacre
I would hardly say that Powell was instrumental in whitewashing the massacre, given that what he was asked to investigate was a letter accusing US personnel of bullying Vietnamese and which did not make any mention of the massacre ….
I may be wrong about the above: according to some sources, the letter, while not mentioning that particular massacre, raised more than simple bullying, but rather murders committed by military units.
well, as long as they were massacring them and not bullying them….
Swings and Roundabouts Catrina. Maybe he will see the writing on the wall and wait till the revolution up ends the GOP. Certainly at the moment the moderates are in the minority it the GOP, which makes it difficult for them to advance in the GOP. But then again, I could be wrong. π
jen
?
18 – KR
I guess I am more cynical then you π
There’s a legal concept, ‘wilful blindness’.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colin_Powell#View_of_the_U.S._war_in_Iraq
[‘Powell asserted that “there can be no doubt that Saddam Hussein has biological weapons and the capability to rapidly produce more, many more.”[27] Powell also stated that there was “no doubt in my mind” that Hussein was working to obtain key components to produce nuclear weapons.[27]’]
I give no more credence to Powell, then I gave to Downer when he professed no knowledge of the Iraqi Wheat scandal. Blaming underlings is a Howard ploy that holds little weight. What happened to ‘the buck stops here?’
Anybody with half a brain would have raised numerous red flags on the information presented. Who remembers the US’s ludicrous efforts to prevent the public from viewing the intelligence submitted to justify the war? We all know the reason they did so was because it would fall apart under any reasonable scrutiny (which it ultimately did).
The fact that Powell chose to present flawed evidence on the basis that it was factually correct, makes him just as complicit as Bush.
As to whether he “knowingly misled”, we only have his word that he didn’t, but at best it was grossly negligent.
Here’s what Powell could do to redeem himself.
1. Quit the Republican party and join the Democrats (a la Specter).
2. Spill all on the inner depraved workings of the Bush Regime.
Anything else is just fluff.
And now…….Heeerrrrreeeeeeeee’s Rachel!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vt1n8SRbBXo&eurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww%2Etruthdig%2Ecom%2Favbooth%2Fitem%2F20090526%5Fmaddow%5F1%5Flimbaugh%5F0%2F&feature=player_embedded
Gaffy, you’re right of course. Powell shilled his guts out for over a year to try a keep a lid on the My Lai Massacre when he was chief propagandist for the 7th Americal Division(spin merchants) which was HQed in Da Nang. That’s why Poppy appointed Colin Joint CoS Chief, because Powell could be trusted to lie with conviction when necessary.
Colin was treated with contempt by Junior BushCo and marginalised in the rush to Iraq War 2, yet still did his gig at the UN supporting The Imbecile’s “it could come in the form of a mushroom cloud” bullshit. I think Powell knew what was going on but did it with the out of plausuble deniability ie. Tenet’s reassurances.
Wonder who RushBo would back in 2016 in a presidential contest between HRC and Colin P? Probably Liz Cheney.
17 DG
If there’s one thing wrong with the world and politics these days, its the complete lack of accountability.
Whilst a strong opposition typically would assist in ensuring the government is accountable, all I see is the Republicans trying to block everything just because its what Obama is suggesting.
I can’t see the Republicans in the near future having the ability nor the intelligence as a strong opposition of being able to differentiate between good public policy and their own interests.
Although, I do see your point regarding NSW Labor and the effects of no real opposition π
A cracking article on Crikey today from my favourite hack π who ignores the games and gives it to us straight.
http://www.crikey.com.au/2009/05/27/whatever-happens-to-the-ets-it-represents-colossal-failure/
Moar plz, Mr Keane. This is the kind of feisty, antagonistic reportage that I expect from an independent news source.
Agree totally with Asanque and gaffhooks summing up of Colin Powell.
At best – a bootlicker extraordinaire
At worst – a recidivist war criminal
I’ve read plenty of articles and watched numerous documentaries that have convinced me that Powell knowingly mislead the UN (and therefore everyone) on Iraq. That presentation of his was a farce. I just don’t think he can get beyond that, although he has tried. He has said it was the lowest point of his career – and he’s right.
Some initial reading of Sonia Sotomayor’s nomination:
-She is Barack Obama in a skirt, yet with differing outward personalities. A remarkable journey.
-She is not as liberal in her thought as her history and rhetoric suggests. Although, on the whole, she seems a reliable mainly progressive/liberal vote. Labour unions will love her.
-If you were a political animal( ie a chicago democrat) with an opponent on the ropes( ie The Republicans) she is manna from heaven…pass the popcorn and watch the trogs annhialate themselves.
The Ruskies are cock-a-hoop:
On the wires:
MOSCOW – Russia has signed a landmark deal to supply nuclear fuel directly to US companies, setting itself up to control 20 per cent of the US uranium market and extending its global reach in the nuclear sector.
At a ceremony in the Russian capital, US electricity firms PG&E, Ameren Corp and Luminant signed deals to get more than $US1 billion in uranium supplies from Russia’s state nuclear fuel exporter Tenex between 2014 and 2020.
…poor old Ronnie Ray-gun would be rolling in his grave at the thought of Russian uranium landing on US soil (but NOT via missile, nevertheless! LOL)
the url for that article is:
http://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs.nsf/Article/UPDATE-2-Russia-breaks-wall-into-US-nuclear-market-SENCT?OpenDocument
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H3yO6eUvJAA
http://editorialcartoonists.com/cartoon/display.cfm/71106
—————————–
http://editorialcartoonists.com/cartoon/display.cfm/71100
May 27:
http://news.yahoo.com/edcartoons/patoliphant;_ylt=AuMB9OkCeSQa91.si70SRcjV.i8C
http://news.yahoo.com/comics/mattbors;_ylt=AiTacj8wdBg65jFBT5c8vVzX.sgF
May 27: current series began on May 25; developing nicely.
http://news.yahoo.com/comics/uclickcomics/20090527/cx_db_uc/db20090527
May 27:
http://news.yahoo.com/edcartoons/bensargent;_ylt=Ann9Q_sRVhKQr6VtSlgnGunV.i8C
May 27:
http://news.yahoo.com/edcartoons/tomtoles;_ylt=AqGPe_oUJFzJvXVbSgKPzEExvTYC
Have a look at this. Grit TV. Laura Flanders – Fire Dog Lake.
http://lauraflanders.firedoglake.com/
It may have been running last year, but I have only just found it. The quicker Kevin Rudd fixes our Internet downloads and speeds up the Internet the better.
no Summer Of Love this year, only a Summer Of Shove:
http://nymag.com/news/politics/nationalinterest/56922/
and the Worker Bees are again gathering:
http://narcosphere.narconews.com/thefield/summer-shove-begins
Chris B at 39
Just added GRITtv to our little list of outside sources.
asanque, HusseinWorm, Harry H and Katie Lou – I concur.
If we we were all sitting with mouths agape watching the bullshit Powell handed down at the UN and then marching in the streets in objection and disbelief- why was he so compliant?
I want leaders who stand up for what they believe, not just do what they’re told. We’re past that.
and btw- i don’t think Powell is an evil liar – i think he is of the school that did as they were ordered regardless.
Toast.
HusseinWorm@32
“Only the Greens have clean hands in this debacle.”
like I said somewherre way back – it’s depressing watching 2 essentially conservative parties fight over Doing Nothing vs Doing Not Nearly Enough. This whole debate is a joke.
Love Keane.
Powell wasn’t intentionally deceiving anyone. Even Tenet wasn’t deliberately deceiving anyone, although he sure was deceiving himself.
There were basically two divisions of the CIA who knew about Curveball’s story, which came via German intelligence. The spooks on the one hand had serious reservations because there was no verification and they hadn’t actually had access to Curveball for historical reasons. On the other hand, the nerds, the tech heads, were convinced his ‘evidence’ fitted with the technological requirements of brewing biological weapons, so, they figured, he had to be telling the truth.
There was some real barneys over who was right, and the nerds won because, well, they couldn’t be disproved and the Cheney/Rumsfeld cabals didn’t want to hear anything else.
Tenet was their lapdog, and he broke every rule in the intelligence gathering handbook to let this flimsy fraud get stove-piped into the Whitehouse with no caveats.
Powell, suspicious, could not do anything but accept what Tenet convinced him was rock solid intelligence.
Life is not so simple as goodies and baddies. It’s more a tale told by an idiot, as the man said.
When David Kay rushed up to Washington to meet Bush and Cheney he told the President it was all rubbish, there where no WMD. Bush simply had no idea until well after the war. He’d been duped too.
It’s interesting to note it’s Cheney running around trying desperately to shore up the story. Bush on the other hand must have eventually realised he’d been played by Cheney, and it must have been a pretty awful moment when he finally did.
Kirri
“Life is not so simple as goodies and baddies.”
I agree. But it needs to be about principled and brave vs followers and the willingly mislead.
It is time we asked for more from those in power.
Which, surely is why we have the virtually impossible fact that Obama is in the Whitehouse, against all the political and cultural wisdom.
Powell may have done his best, but it wasn’t good enough- hundreds of thousands of innocents dead.
Toast.
45
Yeah Kirri that is exactly as i see it. When all these top cats are coming out and saying that lots of things did not go past Darth to Shrub. That gives reason to isolate Darth and i remarked on the previous thread, IMHO A backroom deal has been done with shrub because the dope was duped and the deal is; Shrub continues to go free but for that nobody stands in the way of us rounding up Darth for his day in the sunshine.
To say that Colin Powell, and even George Tenet….and even George fuckin Bush “didn’t intentionally decieve anyone” is one of the most striking assertions ever made on this board.
Powell knew it was bullshit.
Tenet knew it was bullshit.
Bush knew it was bullshit…hell, he thought he was on a mission from God FFS.
The insane Cheney cabal may have organized it all, but these lickspittles all “Knew” what was going down around them.
Scrub me, boil me, then bake me if you want – but of all of the people in all of the bars in all of the political wilderness, I’d prefer the General to lead the debate ahead of Cheny, Limbaugh, Beck, Coultar, Steel, Palin, or even McCain. Come to think of it … the guy can think and articulate a position at the same time – and whatever anyone says, that’s a rare thing in the Republican Party of 2009.
HH, your deep understanding of the human condition is the most profound thing ever put forth on this board! LOL
Yeah, I’m with you on that one Catrina. Powell is light years ahead of any of the pedestrian excuses the Republicans could offer.
KR at 51
On the subject of ‘pedestrian’ I encourage you to follow the links in my post at #49.
π
KR,
Nothing profound in saying that Cheney, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, Addington, Horowitz, Perle, Libby, Ledeen et al were behind the Iraq push.
Nothing profound in saying that Powell, Tenet and Bush knew that what was being peddled was absolute garbage.
Profound…now that would be saying Powell or Tenet “didn’t intentionally decieve anyone” LOL
49 Catrina Not yet. The more the rightwing nutbags lead the bigger the losses at the next few elections. The louder they scream the bigger the margin. A massive amount of change needs to be done in the USA. In order to do that the Democrats NEED to win by a huge amount.
Oh. Thanks for linking that. I’ve done the same myself.
Well said HarryH
The classic excuse used by those who would obfuscate the past is plausible deniability.
I am also of the view, that Bush and co. knew exactly what they were doing and intentionally set out a scheme to mislead the UN and the world to justify their invasion of Iraq.
However, that ploy was so transparent that the Coalition of the Willing was a piss poor minority of those morally bankrupt leaders who have now all gone. Even Canada didn’t support the Iraq war initially!
Ultimately the US didn’t even get a new UN resolution and marched in regardless.
Where was Secretary of State Colin Powell on that issue?
Even if the intelligence was at all justified:
1. Why didn’t the US simply hand it to the UN weapon inspectors who were in Iraq at the time and allow them to verify?!
2. Even if Iraq could have hidden the weapons of mass destruction, with the UN in Iraq, they were no threat whatsoever with the close scrutiny.
Making the Iraq was the most illogical justification for a war in the modern era (i.e. illegal).
Now if only someone had the guts to pursue these scumbags…
I meant “Making the Iraq invasion the most illogical justification for a war in the modern era (i.e. illegal).”
The Huffington Post started four years ago it now has nearly nine million viewers. That is equivalent to cable TV stuff. Fire Dog Lake is following in their footsteps. The interesting thing is (and good thing) they are both run by women.
I hope they thrash the pants off Rupert Murdoch. π
Jen @ 44, I thought you might have liked that bit. π
http://www.ereads.com/richard_curtis/2009/05/e-reads-offers-book-deal-to-dick-cheney.html
It’s interesting to see how people think Powell and Bush must have known that Saddam did not have WMD. Funny, but they kept sending CIA teams in to find them AFTER the invasion, put troops in gas masks for the invasion, and made every appearance of people convinced of their assertions.
What some people seem to be missing is the capacity for self-deception, group think, and the fevered echo chamber of the intelligence world who in the lead up to the invasion were all sending the same (mis)-information to each other.
People also forget that immediately upon invading security went to shit in Iraq because the US was running around looking for the WMD. Don’t let short memories re-write history. The US administration bought its own story, it had become an article of faith, and every failure to find them was ‘proof’ of how devious Saddam’s regime had been.
It’s far too glib to just see Cheney et al as ‘evil’, knowingly concocting a war with ‘cooked’ intelligence, but that is so simplistic and wrong as to be laughable. These people had become a cult, for which no doubt was allowed, any other point of view heresy, and they totally believed what they were doing was to ‘protect America’.
Remember, they’d only just witnessed the most audacious attack on the Pentagon and the Twin Towers. It was a horrifying and traumatic set of events and they were desperate to make sure it didn’t happen again with radioactive or biological consequences.
Iraq had WMD. It used them in the 1980’s, killing thousands of Kurds and Iranians. Iraq did have a nuclear facility. The Israelis bombed it. Iraq did import chemicals agents for weapons.
And after the Gulf War II there was still a lot of unaccounted for bio-agents, enough to create the germ (pun intended) of doubt about what Saddam still had.
Sorry folks, life is more complex than story book ‘goodies and badies’ who behave in stereotypical ways.
“One of the great attractions to patriotism, it fulfils our worst wishes. In the person of a nation we are able, vicariously, to bully and cheat while feeling we’re profoundly virtuous.” Aldous Huxley
Iraq …………… 1,300,000
Afghanistan …. 35,000
Pakistan ……… 5,500
Vietnam ………
Guatemala …..
Chile …..
Honduras …..
Philippines ….
http://www.yourdemocracy.net.au/drupal/node/8057
KR,
They knew he had WMD: Rumsfeldt sold them to him, after all. π
I agree. And I also think that the motives for invading Iraq were complex, given that the call for invasion came from many different quarters and from people with differing and often contradictory views.
As a supporter of the invasion of Iraq, I can relate that while my personal motive was relatively one dimensional, I understood that there were certainly motives in play at the US governmental level that I disagreed with … and ones that I agreed with.
Kirri- all of what you say is true except that you have omitted the parts that the “intelligence ‘ -a misnomer if ever there was one – was gathered in part using torture to elicit that Iraq had WMD’s because they needed some “evidence” – beacuse they didn’t have it. I also remember that the UN weapons’inspectiors (Blix) was adamant that they were unable to detect WMD’s and wanted more time. It is true that Saddam gassed the Kurds and was a complete despot but there was also ample evidence at the time that in fact he and Obama were natural enemies due to his secularism.
Bush wanted to invade Iraq for his Daddy long before 9/11 – they used it as an excuse.
And I don’t see the world in infantile terms as Goodied and Baddies – rather those that abuse power and those that use it to good effect.
Cat – I think Powell is better than all those you named but he is forever sullied by his association with all of them.
(btw- have you saved the world yet???)
And Hussy – it actually is crap that a minorty party like The Greens are the only ones prepared to be real about the climate change issue. We’ll never actually be able to do anything, while the others keep pissing in the pockets of the unions, big business and energy sectors. We’re fucked.
KR and DG – for all your assertions otherwise, I see you have not addresed the 2 primary questions as set out in my post of 57.
Which is that even if the US were convinced that Iraq had WMD, they were no imminent threat (remember Iraq gave full co-operation and UN weapon inspectors were in Iraq).
The US were desperate to concoct the legitimacy of an invasion and led the charge through gross stupidity or wilful blindness.
I suggest you re-visit your own memory of the period, as my memory is crystal clear. The revisionists are those that suggest that Bush and co might actually have a genuine belief that Iraq has WMD and an imminent possibility of use, when the entire world and the UN was asking for legitimate proof.
Even if WMD was an issue. At the same time as the Iraq war, North Korea were jumping up and down saying “we have nukes”, yet the US ignored them entirely.
I call bullshit on the US and the Bush Regime.
asanque,
Iraq did not give full cooperation.
http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2003/08/22/1061513785551.html
It is clear that the UN weapons inspectors *believed that there were WMDs there* and that the reason that *they* could not find them was because Iraq was *not* cooperating.
asanque,
North Korea is a different issue. North Korea is a patron state of China. There was no chance in hell that the US could have invaded North Korea in the face of inevitable Chinese opposition. Iraq, however, *could* be invaded because it had no such patron.
Real politic. You do the possible, which in Iraq’s case was inspections and then invasion and in North Korea’s case was negotiation via China.
Regarding cooperation, it has always mystified me why Saddam Hussein, who must have *known* that he had no WMDs, didn’t cooperate fully. Ego, I presume: he could not admit to the Arab world that Iraq no longer had chemical and biological capability, and was behind Iran in nuclear research.
United States military operations were conducted under the codename Operation Iraqi Liberation (OIL).[93] The codename was later changed to Operation Iraqi Freedom, due to the unfortunate acronym.
π
[‘In 1998 Iraq accused Butler and other UNSCOM officials of acting as spies for the United States, but the UNSCOM weapons inspectors were not expelled from the country by Iraq as has often been reported (and as George W. Bush alleged in his infamous “axis of evil” speech). Rather, according to Butler himself in his book Saddam Defiant (2000), it was U.S. Ambassador Peter Burleigh, acting on instructions from Washington, who suggested Butler pull his team from Iraq in order to protect them from the forthcoming U.S. and British airstrikes. A number of media reports in the United States suggested that there was some substance to the spying allegations and to the charge that he was tailoring UNSCOM’s findings to suit the United States. Eric Fournier, a French diplomat who served as Butler’s deputy at UNSCOM in 1998, told an Australian journalist, Christopher Kremmer, that the US bombing of Iraq in 1998 — which made the UNSCOM mission untenable — occurred “because Richard Butler reported that the Iraqis had not cooperated with inspections, even though more than three hundred had taken place in a few weeks and only a handful had been a problem. Three out of three hundred did not go perfectly smoothly…the report, drafted like that, was a good excuse for some members of the Security Council to take action”.[1] Fournier also told Kremmer that Butler at one point sounded positive about closing the disarmament issue. But then he received a call from the state department who werenβt happy with a positive outcome in Iraq.’]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Butler_(diplomat)
Thanks DG, saved me a few seconds, but let me add that I was always against the invasion, argued and argued that Saddam was no threat, and any WMD programmes still intact were of no practical use. I believed then, as now, that the intelligence was over-hyped, but at that time nobody outside of the German and US governments had heard the name Curveball.
Mind you, it was a difficult position because I detested Saddam and his squalid regime. But I was certain that the US invading was not going to have a good outcome for the Iraqis, let alone the poor grunts who had to do it.
The US spent a lot of time and money looking for WMD after the invasion, they were desperate to prove themselves right, but in the end would they have still invaded if they hadn’t convinced themselves Saddam was a threat? Probably. They would have convinced themselves of something else in all likelihood, we’ll just never know.
All of this is shaded gray, as it must be, because that’s what it was, and all the evidence points to it being so.
71 – DG
No one is denying the real politics.
What I am contesting is the logicial inconsistency of invading a country with supposed weapons of mass destruction, whilst another country that DEFINITELY has weapons of mass destruction was ignored.
That seems to be a dispute between Bulter and his deputy, rather than anything substantive.
http://www.rense.com/general33/msmsn.htm
Hans Blix seemed to not be satisfied with Iraqi cooperation.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction#Between_inspections:_1998-2002
[‘In late 2002 Saddam Hussein, in a letter to Hans Blix, invited UN weapons inspectors back into the country. Subsequently the Security Council issued resolution 1441 authorizing new inspections in Iraq. The carefully-worded UN resolution put the burden on Iraq, not UN inspectors, to prove that they no longer had weapons of mass destruction. The United States claimed that Iraq’s latest weapons declaration left materials and munitions unaccounted for; the Iraqis claimed that all such material had been destroyed, something which had been stated years earlier by Iraq’s highest ranking defector, Hussein Kamel. According to reports from the previous UN inspection agency, UNSCOM, Iraq produced 600 metric tons of chemical agents, including mustard gas, VX and sarin, and nearly 25,000 rockets and 15,000 artillery shells, with chemical agents, that are still unaccounted for. In fact, in 1995, Iraq told the United Nations that it had produced at least 30,000 liters of biological agents, including anthrax and other toxins it could put on missiles, but that all of it had been destroyed.[citation needed]
In January 2003, United Nations weapons inspectors reported that they had found no indication that Iraq possessed nuclear weapons or an active program.’]
Sounds like pretty much full co-operation from Iraq to me.
As ludicrous as it was that they had to ‘prove’ that they had no WMD.
And given the UN were still in the country and Iraq were at least partially co-operating, they were no immediate threat.
Therefore, justification for war = 0.
I too remember asanque. I remember Tony Blair saying that Iraq could attack Britain with WMD’s in 45 minutes. I remember Bush saying that despite the UN’s refusal to invade that he (with the backing of Howard and Blair) would do it anyway. I remember the outcry from most of the rest of the western world and Bush’s complete disregard for it. I remember Hans Blix almost begging to be given more time. I remember the horror I gfelt as Baghdad was bomobed knowing civilians were there.
Fuck Bush, Blair, Howard and all those who supported them with no evidence… including Colin Powell. The impact of the damage they have caused is immeasurable.
asanque,
It wasn’t ‘ignored’. That was my point: different methods were applied because the situations were entirely different. There is no logical inconsistency there.
DG, it’s partly because Saddam was also ‘fed’ information and half-truths by his own technocrats who did not want to admit they couldn’t get it right. Just as people did not tell Joe Stalin what he didn’t want to hear…it shortened your life. Saddam was feared, so his scientists and engineers told him stuff that did not always comply with reality. Saddam was delusional and a psychopath, Cheney was just delusional.
Saddam played with the UN, always had, and wanted to ‘keep ’em guessing’ and as you say, wanted to keep his machismo intact to the Arab world. It was a dire miscalculation, but turfing out UN inspectors was an easy game, until it backfired.
(Ironically, mobile bio-agent trucks had been suggested by Saddam’s top germ warfare engineers but it wasn’t pursued as it was considered too damn impractical. How’s that for irony?)
KR and DG – How exactly where Iraq a threat at a time?
Surely any invasion with a pretense of legitimacy had to prove an immediate threat?
And DG, lets talk about Hans Blix.
http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2003/01/31/1043804520548.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/mar/20/iraq.usa
[‘The elimination of weapons of mass destruction was the declared main aim of the war. It is improbable that the governments of the alliance could have sold the war to their parliaments on any other grounds. That they believed in the weapons’ existence in the autumn of 2002 is understandable. Why had the Iraqis stopped UN inspectors during the 90s if they had nothing to hide? Responsibility for the war must rest, though, on what those launching it knew by March 2003.
By then, Unmovic inspectors had carried out some 700 inspections at 500 sites without finding prohibited weapons. The contract that George Bush held up before Congress to show that Iraq was purchasing uranium oxide was proved to be a forgery. The allied powers were on thin ice, but they preferred to replace question marks with exclamation marks.
They could not succeed in eliminating WMDs because they did not exist. Nor could they succeed in the declared aim to eliminate al-Qaida operators, because they were not in Iraq. They came later, attracted by the occupants. A third declared aim was to bring democracy to Iraq, hopefully becoming an example for the region. Let us hope for the future; but five years of occupation has clearly brought more anarchy than democracy.’]
79 – DG
Which gets back to the main point.
The US surely needed to prove not only WMD existed but were an imminent threat.
Given UN weapons inspectors were in Iraq and the whole world was watching, they were no threat.
In fact the US kicked the UN weapons inspectors out, not Iraq.
The US wanted this war for neoconservative purposes including oil, and were willing to mislead the world to do so.
Logic dictates that if the US had concrete evidence, they would not have rushed the invasion, and would have given the UN as much time as necessary to complete inspections.
Asanque, I never believed, was not convinced then, that Saddam was a threat to anyone in 2002, except to 20 odd million Iraqis. The hysteria of the US administration was self-inflicted, they always mistrusted Saddam (and he’d always given them good reason to), they’d been hit at home by terrorists, and they were desperate to over compensate for their not seeing it coming and stopping it in the first place.
That’s a lot of pressure. Imagine yourself in that position and then realising you had NO reliable intelligence assets within Iraq, you knew there had been large WMD programmes and you had Saddam playing games with UN inspectors.
How Curveball came into the game, lobbing into Germany in early 1999, seeking asylum, and so telling them any story to get in, get noticed, get looked after, and then his fabrications getting all the way through the CIA into the Whitehouse is a fascinating and bizarre story, but at no point did ANYONE except Curveball set out to deceive anyone intentionally. Even Curveball himself had no idea what he was saying was going to be used to justify a war.
I strongly urge you to read Bob Drogin’s book, with this quote from Frederick Forsyth on the cover, “The biggest fiasco in the history of secret intelligence”. Which is precisely what it was.
83 – KR
How exactly were Iraq any threat to the US?
Even if they possibly had WMD, it certainly wasn’t capable of reaching the US.
And were the US seriously suggesting that in the middle of world uproar, Iraq would lob a few missles their way just to get completely annihilated?
Which makes the US administration hysteria entirely self-created and delusional. Which of course is no excuse for the rushed war.
And even if the US truly believed the information from curveball was accurate.
Simply pass it to the UN for inspection, and leave them there for inspections indefinitely.
Problem solved.
They key point is that there was no immediate threat.
asanque,
I do not think that the US needed to *prove* that weapons were there. (Proof is impossible outside logic and mathematics in any case). Evidence was sufficient.
I will also add here that I did not believe in the existence of Iraqi WMDs at the time. My suspicion was that the push to war came from three main sources: oil security, idealism and a desire to ‘finish the job’ of Bush’s father. There was also fear in there, of course.
My motive was a practical idealism: I believed that the toppling of Saddam Hussein’s government would be better for Iraq than leaving it in place. As an internationalist, I do not believe national borders have any meaning in dealing with scum like him.
asanque,
I am wondering how you come to the conclusion that simply having a few hundred inspectors in Iraq could have prevented Iraq from, say, dropping some chemical munitions (assuming they had any) on US forces in Kuwait. Can you lay out the logic for me?
asanque,
The expressed fear was that Iraq would give WMD to terrorists. It is again unclear to me how having a few hundred weapon inspectors in Iraq would have prevented this from happening should Iraq have had the weapons and should they have been willing to give them to terrorists. But again there might be logical steps in your argument that I am missing.
Kirri – I’m a bit unclear about your position. On one hand you are saying that you were against the Iraq war (as I well remember from previous discussions when we lived Over the Fence), but that somehow you see it as all understandable, if misguided.
huh?
WE were all loudly saying, from all over the world, that there was not enough credible evidence of WMD’s and that there needed to be more evidence. How is it OK that Bush, Powell, etc were prepared to accept such flimsy and disputed “evidence” when the average person in the street wasn’t. Surely you would expect they would need more proof than you or I, not less.
jen,
I think that KR is saying that it is not so simple as Bush and co having lied. They may well have done, but they seemed to *believe* their own lies. If your assumption from the start is that Iraq have WMDs, then everything that you find is seen through that lens. Did they not answer some questions? Highly suspicious. Did they block access to three sites? Even more suspicious. And so on. Add that to things like oil security concerns, a magnified fear of terrorism and anger at Saddam Hussein, and rationality is unlikely to drive the whole deal.
Of course, KR might be saying something different. π
87 – DG
The principle of self-preservation.
Saddam whilst a brutal dictator was not an idiot.
What would he have accomplished by lobbing a few chemical munitions whilst the UN were in Iraq?
Complete annihilation of Iraq.
88 – DG
This is sounding more and more like an episode of 24. What possible gain could Iraq have by giving WMD to terrorists (are we talking random terrorists here, because Saddam was not in cahoots with al-qaeda)? Which again leads to the complete annihilation of Iraq by the US if it did happen. Alternatively, if that was justification for a war, then the US could just go waltzing into any country that has WMD without repercussions, such as Iran.
DG
“should Iraq have had the weapons and should they have been willing to give them to terrorists.”
umm…I think then point is that they didn’t have them and therefore they couldn’t give them to anybody, much less terrorists. And that this was being stated, but ignored by those who neded to legitimise what was already planned- to invade Iraq.
90 DG
My issue is that you and KR are using this paranoia as an excuse.
Our contention is that there was not a reasonable justification by any objective person that the steps the US took with the intelligence information was reasonable.
Whereas, I seem to be hearing, that the deluded Bush regime acted reasonably on the information they received, despite the numerous options they had available.
asanque,
My contention is simply that the US government believed that weapons of mass destruction existed, however reasonable or otherwise that belief might have been.
In other words, they did not gather in rooms laughing about how they were pulling the wool over the eyes of the rest of the world in this regard, or any other caricature.
Dg @90 –
that all makes sense .Which is the whole point . It is absolutely not acceptable that a government with such power deludes itself into ultimately killing hundreds and thousands (at least) innocent people, and that it is whitewashed with the idea that somehow it is understandable ‘cos they were having a terrible time right then (due to a totally unrelated act of aggression) so they just got all in a tizz and got it wrong.
Don’t reckon I’d get away with that kind of an excuse to get out of a traffic violation.
asanque at 91,
Surely the principle of self-preservation applies with or without weapons inspectors. How do inspectors come into it?
Regarding giving WMDs to terrorist, for the US to attack Iraq as a result they would have to know how they got the weapons. That is the point: Iraq, or any other nation, could give terrorists weapons and five ior 10 years later those weapons could be used.
As to Iran, you again are ignoring real politic. Invading Iran is a much more difficult and dangerous proposition than fighthing Iraq.
jen at 95,
People get off things all the time with those excuses. Temporary insanity is a reasonable defence. π
Being misguided and wrong is not the same as being evil*, even though the consequences can look identical.
*not that I believe in ‘evil’, of course
86 and 94 – DG
How do you reconcile these two posts?
It seems you agree.
1. The US had many motives for invading Iraq (Post 86).
2. The US then used their belief (no matter how flawed), that Iraq had WMD to justify the invasion (Post 94).
The US had an agenda and then used whatever flimsy evidence was available to try and justify the invasion.
Which really gets us back to the original point.
The US were ‘wilfully blind’ or ‘recklessly indifferent’ as to what the evidence actually was. This was then deliberately spun to try and achieve their aim of an invasion of Iraq.
Either way they were equally culpable.
96 – DG
1. As a extra safety measure for the US.
2. See invasion of Afghanistan.
3. No one is denying the real politic. I am merely stating that a fear of a country giving terrorists weapons of mass destruction is not a basis for invasion.
97 – DG
Temporary insanity is a defence. However, paranoia, ‘wilful blindless, and deliberate planning are not π