On the 12 June 2009 a presidential election was held that would mark the beginning of an unravelling of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Just sixteen days later events were unfolding that would trigger a constitutional crisis in Honduras. As events unfolded in Iran, the world discovered a nation of people, educated, smart, brave, scared, and perhaps most of all – human. Across an ocean a South American head of state was removed from office in what has been cited as a democratic coup involving a supreme court, a congress, and a standing army.
Tehran and Tegucigalpa are the two cities in question. In Tehran we witnessed a popular uprising against an election result that announced a landslide victory to the incumbent president, a brutal suppression, and the beginning of a political power struggle that will possibly continue for a number of years. Tegucigalpa in contrast was much more a political/industrial action to maintain a status quo, a pre-emptive action to circumvent what was perceived as a move by a rogue president to move the country to the far left.
Rahm Emanuel said [1] …
You never want a serious crisis to go to waste.
[1] YouTube: Rahm Emanuel on a serious crisis.
What he meant by that was that in crisis there is opportunity to do things you could not have done before. In Iran this principal translates into an opportunity for structural changes to the Islamic Republic of Iran, it’s relationships with the outside world, it’s position on human and moral rights, and the potential for the change to the ultimate power structure. But to be clear, the role of popular unrest in this scenario is just the trigger enabling a political opportunity. Over in Honduras the events unfolded with a pre-emptive political move, a reactive but unsuccessful counter-strike, the emergence of a mediation process, and a probably conclusion within which the exiled president will be returned to his position but stripped of any effective power, and the ultimate arbitrators will be the people of Honduras in a new election in November.
In the Honduras case, chances are that the people will get to vote in free and fair elections in just a few months from now. For Iran the situation is much less clear and projection much more uncertain.
What is common between Tehran and Tegucigalpa is that …
Crisis is the mother of political opportunity.
452 replies on “A Tale of Two Cities”
Thanks for your thoughts everybody.
DNC Goes All In: Takes On Birthers, Conservative “Mob” In New Web Ad. The Huffington Post
Pssst! Hey guys this is for your eyes only.
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Women Take Revenge On Philanderer By Gluing His Penis To His Stomach.
The Huffington Post.
Looks like the Libs read my post at #368 lol.
According to the OO, the charismatic Andrew Robb is DA MAN.
Buckle up you marginal seat Libs lol.
Wannabee’s like Plod Dutton and co must be aghast at the recent events haha.
Obama speaking on a bunch of stuff to do with the US economy, job creation, competitiveness, recovery, etc.
Worth watching all of the 23 mins.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22425001/vp/32300145#32300145
BREAKING NEWS
Adelaide man linked to the forged Obama Kenya birth certificate.
Apparently, David Jeffrey Bomford birth certificate is the original upon which the fake certificate was based.
Democratic Underground
MSNBC: Keith Olbermann
National Review
Washington Independent
ABC, Audio Radio
š
Catrina, the real tragedy here is that Orly Brownshirts is giving Swiftboating a bad name. If only Orly could comprehend the irreparable damage she is doing to this most valued of Rovian/Atwaterian/Goebbelsian/Machiavellian tactics. Perhaps GOPper lust for power is so great that it provides them with total mental immunity against the lessons of History.
āA dingo ate my birth certificateā, not a bad line from K.Oās writers.
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G.Iās Progress: IED to IUD (Improvised Unemployment Device) .
āthereās nothing so precious as a hole in the groundā
http://www.truthdig.com/cartoon/item/20090804_returning_soldiers/
http://www.truthdig.com/cartoon/print/20090804_mccock/
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Katielou, paddy and gaffy, no doubt about it, “Q&A Live” is where it’s at on telly tonight. Petit Mal can’t control any of the territory here; audience selection, questions, moderator, lighting, camera angles, editing.
Be interesting to observe how Julia Prole plays it tonight (9:25 P.M. EST, Auntie 1) as a toreador(needler) or matador (sword sinker). Either way, Julia Prole-Pravda (Minister’s in transition here, looks like Double Bay, talks like Rooty Hill) will do the job with a smile on her face. š
Must say EC there were quite a few stunners there when i was a moonlightin drunks labourer pickin up emptys at the Golden Sheaf at Double Bay.
Mind you they didnt talk like Rooty Hill but some of them were looking for a …………….ah well those were the days.
404
HarryH
That has been on the nooz this AM.
senior Libtards are looking to replace mr Wentworth who is now mr Noworth.
Meanwhile, in further developments, the fabulous furry one has been checking out the Libs latest plan.
Andrew Robb, the Google Assassin!!! š š
http://www.crikey.com.au/2007/11/21/comitatus-andrew-robb-the-google-assassin/
Salad days they were indeed, gaffy. Very organic.
T’ank ya, paddy.
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QUEEN BERTHA
http://i3.ytimg.com/vi/Rwm1ZUrNDWY/hqdefault.jpg
So…….. you want to get a handle on your Typical American Nut Job, eh?
Try this quick compendium!
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/8/5/762024/-Umm,-GOP-You-got-a-second-I-want-to-show-you-something.
What IS of interest: who is geeing these wood-ducks up and who benefits from so doing?
Rhetorical, all of us know already. Exept David. š
While Maureen Dowd wastes a few bytes with the trivia/bitchy gossip shtick. She manages to nail Bill’s big adventure pretty well in the last few paras.
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/05/opinion/05dowd.html?_r=1
I just love the story about the journalists freed from North Korea. It’s just so heartwarming. Bubba et al done real good.
And obviously I jumped the gun on Q&A. I was sure in my mind that yesterday was actually Thursday. Imagine my disappointment! It’s been a long week. Anyhoo, tonight’s the night to watch Turnbull squirm.
Got to go. But I must post this.
Jon Stewart’s Salute To South Carolina: Bestiality, Adultery, Racism, And Lindsey Graham (VIDEO) Very funny. Probably not advisable to play at work.
The Huffington Post
Rupert has just won a Gold Medal.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/08/03/olbermann-slams-bill-orei_n_250569.html
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Gold Chris. LOL
Good old Roo has just blown a cool $203M.
Probably a days interest on his fortune, but i feel god everytime he takes some kind of hit.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/08/05/news-corp-reports-203-mil_n_252304.html
Firstdog lists the contenders.
Let’s hope Mrs Slocum survives her date with Julia on Q&A tonight.
The rest of this Liberal rabble look downright scary. š
http://www.crikey.com.au/Media/images/090806-TurnbullFinished-d4302592-1a13-44c5-b438-71368d7ebf14.jpg
The fact that “punters” are not buying his newspapers is not the only problem for Citizen Rupert. Dwindling ‘paper sales mean that besides loss of advertising revenue, Murdoch loses some of his clout in the business of manufacturing consent. Ain’t that just too bad for a proud Delawarian like Rupert? Gotta admit, I’m cuttin’ up pretty bad over it myself.
How many folk are gonna fork-out hard-earned on being able to get behind News Ltd paywalls for a rag like The Oz? My hunch is they’d drop half their online readership maybe more, in a trice. Niche markets like WSJ will continue to turn a buck for Rupe , but people accustomed to getting news for “free” on quality sites that carry relatively circumspect advertising that’s not “in your face”….no way will they pay no steenkin site toll!
Yeah, go root yer boot, Rupe! When the NYT, eg., put Maureen Dowd’s column (go along with your assessment, paddy) behind a paywall, one could google Dowd’s latest (all you needed according to reliable sources, was the title, which the NYT thoughtfully provided on its toll-free homepage) and find it on Joe Blow’s blogsite almost instsantly.
There are plenty of OTHER sources in the cyber seas for free-ranging dolphins who can shapeshift at will through the ‘net’s mesh.
So thanks for all the fish, Mr. Murdoch, but we’re stayin’ …….and we ain’t payin’.
(sponsored by the Socialist Cyber-Alliance)
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Rachel Maddow doing Ed Murrow. Class act.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26315908/#32307530
Iraq Women Wrestlers Spark Controversy. Wrestling causes promiscuity. Hot Sexy Prom Dresses Revealing I would have thought football!
Iraq Women Wrestlers Spark Controversy. Wrestling causes promiscuity. The Huffington Post I would have thought football!
Whoops! š³
Chris, a little something to go with your blush?
http://www.womansday.com/var/ezflow_site/storage/images/media/galleries-slideshows/20-sensational-sundresses-under-40/hot-pink-poplin-dress/15443-1-eng-US/Hot-Pink-Poplin-Dress_slideshow_image.jpg
423
š
Stop it Ecky!
That caused a perfectly good glass of wine, to be wasted on yet another keyboard. š
CollegeHumor Originals / Hand – Vagina
Ask your mummy if you can watch it first. š
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pQtKnDGhxmk&NR=1
Aug 6:
http://news.yahoo.com/edcartoons/doonesbury;_ylt=Apk4UN7LzrU2ltg6QfLlOszXj5Z4
http://www.salon.com/comics/tomo/2009/08/04/tomo/index.html
http://editorialcartoonists.com/cartoon/display.cfm/74038
I must admit EC that i do visit his sites as well as SMH and AGE but it is basically to look at the Toons. They are the only coherent and realistic items in all of it.
If Roo puts up his pay wall then i will not get to see the Toons but i won’t lose any sleep over that.
So i guess it is fuck him.
417 gaffhook Rupert’s announced he is going to charge for content. He does have a monopoly on some things he owns. So it will be interesting to see how it works.
gaffy Snap! Didn’t see yours!
Given Bernard Keane’s role as a public servant in a previous life,
today’s Crikey podcast is interesting for his observations on Godwin Gretch.
Definitely worth a squiz.
http://www.crikey.com.au/2009/08/06/utegate-redux/
Senate Race Rankings 2010
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The NRSC has had a good summer so far in terms of recruitment and candidate fundraising, and Republicans in general seem optimistic about their chances in the 2009 and 2010 elections. Nevertheless, the inescapable math is that Republicans now have six open Senate seats, five of which are likely to be competitive, whereas Democrats have only two, only one of which is certain to be contested. And that’s not even counting the May 2010 special election in Texas for Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison, who will resign from the Senate later this year.
Republicans are most heartened by: Sen. Christopher Dodd’s (D) continued weakness in polls; the new Senate candidacies of Rep. Mark Kirk, R-Ill., and former New Hampshire Attorney General Kelly Ayotte (R); and the announced retirement of Sen. Jim Bunning, R-Ky. They are also encouraged by the strong second quarter fundraising numbers by their preferred candidates in Missouri, Ohio and Florida, as well as the lack of announced challengers to Sen. Richard Burr in North Carolina and the looming primary between Sen. Arlen Specter, D-Pa., and Rep. Joe Sestak (D).
Democrats can point to some good news of their own, such as the lack of a top-tier challenger to Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., and the continued financial strength of appointed Sens. Michael Bennet, D-Colo., and Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., as they head into their first statewide bids. And if Rep. Charlie Melancon, D-La., chooses to challenge Republican Sen. David Vitter, Democrats would also get a top-tier candidate in a race they might otherwise have punted on.
But at the end of the day, the best news for Democrats is that they don’t even need to beat any Republican incumbents next year to have a great 2010, provided they are able to pick off a couple open GOP seats.
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Ten listed for battle. Democrats looking at eight possibles.
Not including Texas, if Hutchinson resigns.
The National Journal Online
Just to remind you how CQ politics sees it.
The senate race 2010 on CQ politics
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Sotomayor confirmed. 68 to 31. Just another nail in the Republicans coffin The Huffington Post
Chris B at 434
Just added it to our calendar/history.
https://politic.osm.net/calendar/
Look out, ye scum-sucking land lubbers, Captain Jasper has just sailed into port and come to our rescue.
http://www.crikey.com.au/2009/08/07/first-dog-on-the-moon-374/
Jon stewart sticking it up CNN and john Bolton over Bill meets Il
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/08/06/stewart-slams-cnn-fox-for_n_252658.html
433
Just realised i am sitting here taking everything for granted.
Thankyou for tidying up our house.
Sick for profit. Pass it on, give it a rating, do something!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vKI9be55N00&feature=player_embedded
Some ugly scenes down in Tampa Florida earlier today…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yX4F_cb9AXk&feature=player_embedded
According to the ’08 exit polls, Hispanics made up 9% of the nat’l electorate. In states represented by GOPers whose ’08 electorate was more than 9% Hispanic — AZ (16%), FL (14%), NV (15%) and TX (20%) — only one out of six sens. (the retiring MartĆnez) voted for Sotomayor. Sen. John Ensign (R-NV), Senate Min. Whip Jon Kyl, NRSC Chair John Cornyn, Hutchison and McCain all voted against.
http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2009/08/parsing_the_gop.php
I hope Hutchinson retires. 20% Latino vote in Texas.
Obama Aide John Brennan Declares End to War on Terrorism
http://washingtonindependent.com/54152/obama-aide-declares-end-to-war-on-terrorism
Palin: Obama Might Euthanize My Baby.
================================================
Can they get any loonier? Words fail me!
Talking Points Memo
There is no video but it sure is a hilarious read.
Bill Maher is really sockin it to em.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bill-maher/new-rule-smart-president_b_253996.html
445
Ooh what a classic Gaffy.
446
Paddy
Yeah so what’s your wifes name?
Errrrr……C street! I get my wives on C street.
Have a look at the art work in this game. Be sure to watch it in HD!
Machinarium Trailer
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uwZBdWRSBRs
Ten Telltale Signs of Republican Disease
http://www.opednews.com/articles/Ten-Telltale-Signs-of-Repu-by-Bob-Burnett-090807-461.html
Hmmmmmmmmmm!
I googled some of the items and i think it would be fair to say that the size of the company and where it is situated it would be hard for them not to do business with either party as well their partners and workers have donated to both parties for elections.
Holder was a partner for the firm for the period of the imbeciles rule.
It could follow that there could quite easily be a conflict.
Gouldie for Help?
http://www.opednews.com/articles/Eric-Holder-s-Conflict-of-by-Dana-Jill-Simpson-090807-200.html
gaffhook at 450
I’m no authority on the ‘conflict of interest thing’ in the case of X worked at law firm Y which represented organisation Z. However, I can confirm that Covington and Burling have a *really* nice office down on Pennsylvania Avenue just down from the White House and there is a very good coffee shop just a couple of doors away.
new post up from David Gould …
Conspiracy Theorem: An Attack on Freedom