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Obama, Romney, Showtime …

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208 replies on “Obama, Romney, Showtime …”

My 1st call after 4% of vote counted in Indiana is Donnely(D) beats Mourdock(tea Party)

2nd call is Exit Poll says 49 to 49 tie in Virginia . I call it for Obama. Minority vote up. White evangelical down.

Florida looks very, very tight. I think there will be a recount.

Colorado looks okay for Obama.

It is hard to tell with Virginia and Ohio.

Ohio looks like it is Obama’s.

The CNN Republican commentator and James Carville both think Florida is going to go to Obama.

Virginia looks to be the only weak link for Obama at this point.

Yep David,

Ohio was gone the minute Romney fled to Pennsylvania a week ago for the Hail Mary.

Well thank goodness there were no nasty surprises and Obama wins a second term. Now let’s hope he can win the popular vote as well.

Close election my ass.

Dems 332 to 206 EV’s

Dems 55 to 45 Senate Votes

Old white conservative men on both CNN and Fox are still saying Obama has no mandate and must bend to the Repugs for the good of the country.

In a certain new councillors once famous words…..Fuck em

Yes Jen i am sure Ecky would have given us some laughs in the run up and now that Obi has won it.

Man – that guy can talk 🙂
once again Obama has delivered a speech of inspiration and depth in this time of political fluff and nonsense .
He talked about a warming planet, gay rights and peace … he is a truly extraordinary leader – and all the naysayers can get fuck off.
He is not a prophet – but look at the incredible gains he has made in this toxic global and political climate.
And he is black –
this result feels more profound that 4 years ago – no hype about hope. Just an inspiring and decent man in a role of immense power.

Puts our leaders to shame. 🙁

Wakefield @ 19
I hope so – but I’ll be watching for Tea Party Zombies walking the streets on Pensivania Avenue. It does raise the questions – do US gun laws actually make sense?

By Post Author

From Tumblr
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“President Barack Obama set a new goal for himself during his acceptance speech early Wednesday morning. As he spoke in Chicago, he thanked everyone who cast a ballot “whether you voted for the first time, or waited in line for a very long time” — then he quickly added, in an evident ad lib, “by the way we have to fix that.”

Once they fix that and the immigration issue the Democrats will have it sewn up from a long time. Till the Repugs re organise themselves into a real party.

NH is 1st state with all-female Capitol delegation.
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Democrat Carol Shea-Porter thought nothing could top being the first woman elected to Congress from New Hampshire in 2006.

‘‘I thought you couldn’t get anything more wonderful than that. I knew it was a tremendous honor,’’ she said.

But that sense of honor and gratitude paled in comparison to her amazement Wednesday when she realized she would be part of the nation’s first all-female Congressional delegation. In addition to sending Shea-Porter back to the 1st Congressional District seat she held until 2010, New Hampshire also elected Democrat Ann McLane Kuster in the 2nd District. They’ll join Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, a Democrat, and Sen. Kelly Ayotte, a Republican, in Washington.

‘‘They’re all stars, just wonderful women and great public servants who I will be privileged to serve with,’’ Shea-Porter said.

New Hampshire, known for its first-in-the-nation primary, has racked up an impressive list of firsts when it comes to powerful women.

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Severe negotiations every 28 days. 🙂
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More here…
http://www.boston.com/news/local/new-hampshire/2012/11/07/all-woman-slate-for-gov-congress/YrTzhYwG902kiBvdboZxDM/story.html

Of all the millions & millions spent on the eleven senate candidates. That’s eleven 11.
None, zero, naught, zilch, 0 got elected.
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If you miss understood what I said. Or I wasn’t clear enough.
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None, zero, naught, zilch, 0 got elected.
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🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

All 9 of the anti abortion nutcases** including Mr Legitimate Rape Todd Akin. Were easily beaten. The anti abortion lobby said they weren’t anti abortion enough. Independent polling showed 66% of people thought abortion was OK.
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** looney type nutcases like Akin

How did each pollster do?
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The problem with polling is that there comes a moment of truth when everyone can see how good you are at your craft. That moment is now. We have done the following analysis. For each of the ten swing states, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin, we took the final poll of each major nonpartisan pollster and called that its prediction. “Major pollster” was arbitrarily defined as one that had at least 10 published polls in 2012. Not every pollster polled every state, though. Here are their predictions.

Surprise! Surprise! Rasmussen was inaccurate
PPP was accurate.

More here….
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Nov09.html#item-2

🙂 🙂 Romney “shellshocked,” fell for “unskewed” polls and Fox’s “unskewed” News. 🙂 🙂
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So it seems that Mitt Romney, the “numbers” candidate, and his staff, are “shellshocked” about the election results because they believed all the Fox News types who kept saying the polls were “skewed” against Republicans (and that if you “unskewed” the polls, Romney was really winning nationwide by 11 points).

Even worse, Romney decided to use a pollster who skewed more to the right than all the normal pollster, so they actually thought they were winning in the days leading up to the election, and that’s why they wasted time and money in places like Pennsylvania.

Oh dear.

More here…

http://americablog.com/2012/11/romney-shellshocked-fell-for-unskewed-polls-and-foxs-unskewed-news.html

Why Americans Actually Voted For A Democratic House.
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Although a small number of ballots remain to be counted, as of this writing, votes for a Democratic candidate for the House of Representatives outweigh votes for Republican candidates. Based on ThinkProgress’ review of all ballots counted so far, 53,952,240 votes were cast for a Democratic candidate for the House and only 53,402,643 were cast for a Republican — meaning that Democratic votes exceed Republican votes by more than half a million.

Shades of Joe Bjelke Peterson. Queensland.

More here..
http://thinkprogress.org/justice/2012/11/07/1159631/americans-voted-for-a-democratic-house-gerrymandering-the-supreme-court-gave-them-speaker-boehner/

President Obama has been declared the winner of Florida in the presidential election, the Associated Press reports.
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The final Electoral College tally is Obama 332, Romney 206.
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The latest nationwide popular vote tally is Obama 50.6%, Romney 47.9%

California GOP Showing Worries Party Strategists. (Democrats have a super majority). 🙂 ~ This is a must read. ~ 🙂
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If the future happens first in California, the Republican Party has a problem.

The nation’s most populous state – home to 1 in 8 Americans – has entered a period of Democratic political control so far-reaching that the dwindling number of Republicans in the Legislature are in danger of becoming mere spectators at the statehouse.

Democrats hold the governorship and every other statewide office. They gained even more ground in Tuesday’s elections, picking up at least three congressional seats while votes continue to be counted in two other tight races – in one upset, Democrat Raul Ruiz, a Harvard-educated physician who mobilized a district’s growing swath of Hispanic voters, pushed out longtime Republican Rep. Mary Bono Mack.

More here….
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/10/california-gop_n_2110152.html

The Latinos are moving into Texas in a big way. It would be awesome to see the Democrats win Texas. They are moving into Nevada and Colorado. But there is one more state that would be absolutely awesome for the Latinos to take over…………………….. Utah.
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Lets hope Obama fixes the immigration issue with the stroke of a pen.

Online Polls Fared Very Well
Nate Silver finds that some of the most accurate polling firms this election cycle were those that conducted their polls online.

“The final poll conducted by Google Consumer Surveys had Mr. Obama ahead in the national popular vote by 2.3 percentage points – very close to his actual margin, which was 2.6 percentage points based on ballots counted through Saturday morning. Ipsos, which conducted online polls for Reuters, came close to the actual results in most places that it surveyed, as did the Canadian online polling firm Angus Reid. Another online polling firm, YouGov, got reasonably good results.”

“Perhaps it won’t be long before Google, not Gallup, is the most trusted name in polling.”

http://politicalwire.com/

Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race.
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As Americans’ modes of communication change, the techniques that produce the most accurate polls seems to be changing as well. In last Tuesday’s presidential election, a number of polling firms that conduct their surveys online had strong results. Some telephone polls also performed well. But others, especially those that called only landlines or took other methodological shortcuts, performed poorly and showed a more Republican-leaning electorate than the one that actually turned out.

Our method of evaluating pollsters has typically involved looking at all the polls that a firm conducted over the final three weeks of the campaign, rather than its very last poll alone. The reason for this is that some polling firms may engage in “herding” toward the end of the campaign, changing their methods and assumptions such that their results are more in line with those of other polling firms.

More here…
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/

The 2012 polling hall of shame: RASMUSSEN
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Nate Silver ranked them the least accurate of 2010, and they’ll likely earn the same this year:

In Colorado, Rasmussen polled at 50%-47% for Romney. The actual result was 51%-47% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen’s poll.

In Florida, Rasmussen polled at 50%-48% for Romney. The actual result was 50%-49% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen’s poll.

In Iowa, Rasmussen polled at 49%-48% for Romney. The actual result was 52%-47% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen’s poll, doubled.

In New Hampshire, Rasmussen polled at 50%-48% for Romney. The actual result was 52%-47% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen’s poll.

In Ohio, Rasmussen polled at a 49%-49% tie. The actual result was 50%-48% for Obama, a two-point swing.

In Virginia, Rasmussen polled at 50%-48% for Romney. The actual result was 50%-48% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen’s poll.

In Wisconsin, Rasmussen polled at a 49%-49% tie. The actual result was 52-47% for Obama, a six-point swing.

More here….
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/08/1158522/-The-2012-polling-hall-of-shame

Golden results in the Golden State: Democrats dominate California.
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But as Republicans woke up on Wednesday morning to survey the damage, in few places could it be considered more horrifying than it was in California. With but few exceptions, progressive candidates and ideologies dominated California races on election night and handed stunning defeats to conservative candidates and their billionaire backers.

Here are some of the headlines you might have missed, below the fold.

Some Democrats stood against Democrats. It might have been a clean sweep. But democracy was still involved.

More…
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/11/1158501/-Golden-results-in-the-Golden-State-Democrats-dominate-California?showAll=yes

Congratulations to every single person responsible for bringing enough pressure to make todays announcement of a Royal Commision into systemic institutional abuse possible.

May the abused, and the loved ones of the dead, feel a little sense of relief from today forward.

Well done PM Gillard. Good call.

Agreed Chris & Harry. It did my old heart good to hear JG has bitten the bullet and ordered a R C. Long past time for it.
It, no doubt, won’t be perfect or solve all the issues. But the disinfectant of sunlight is a powerful thing.
Thanks Julia.

Very rarely have i watched an interview and at the end of it , just thought…..WOW

Police Officer Peter Fox on Lateline just now.

Just fucking……WOW

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HarryH
Peter Fox is that rarest of beasts. An honest, and very brave copper.
He knows his career is finished, but he still says fuck you to the corrupt machine that runs NSW.
The contrast between him and that insufferably smug Jesuit lawyer Frank Brennan was telling.

paddy @ 56

My dad said that the US popular vote is just a pissing-in-a-wet-suite competition and that if you want to go beyond the warm-and-fluffy-feeling you just needed to sign-up to the Electoral College. It took me forever to figure out what he was talking about. And then I blushed!

By Post Author

55

Yep Paddy , an obviously good and honourable man.

The depth and force of that interview was astonishing to watch though. Can’t remember the last time i saw an interview with more meat on the bone than that.

He eviscerated his targets.

Emma was left to watch in silence, which is near impossible these days for an ABC interviewer/interrogater.

Again, it was just WOW.

A good piece from Jonathan Martin on Politico.
The GOP’s media cocoon

A long-simmering generational battle in the conservative movement is boiling over after last week’s shellacking, with younger operatives and ideologues going public with calls that Republicans break free from a political-media cocoon that has become intellectually suffocating and self-defeating.

GOP officials have chalked up their electoral thumping to everything from the country’s changing demographics to an ill-timed hurricane and failed voter turn-out system, but a cadre of Republicans under 50 believes the party’s problem is even more fundamental.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/83704.html

😆 From Nate Silver on twitter.
Possible that Obama’s popular vote margin will eventually grow to ~3.0%. Probably still 3 million ballots uncounted in CA.

great news about Royal Commission – especially that it will target those who averted their gaze as well as perpetrators. There will be some nervous politicians as well as coppers out there today.

and the US result is fantastic and getting better all the time. Doesn’t auger well for our Rightwingnuts in the libs… and looking better for Malcs all the time :mrgreen:

Social media is changing the world. It was a major influence in Obama’s re election and has played a part in getting the Royal Commission. It is hard to measure the influence. But last night the Royal Commission was number one on reddit. Unfortunately an article from the Australian. But that’s better than nothing.

If the Beechworth Tattler ran a salacious article about the local Greens candidate and Tony Abbott. It would be right around the world in minutes. The video would be on YouTube with the uncut version available on RedTube. So even our little local paper has a lot more power than it used to. 🙂 🙂

right now i’ll bet there are a few nervous nellies out there who would give an arm and a leg for Kirribilli Removals and his truck load of shredders left over from 2007. :mrgreen:

Chris and Anthony Foster are all over the news today. News 24. Channel 10 were at their house a couple of hours ago. They are on page 3 of the Herald Sun. Its all about the Royal Commission.
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I just went up to the Fosters. I could see a reporter I recognised talking to them out the back. So I will go back later to congratulate them.

Romney Had No Votes in Many Urban Precincts
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CBS News reports “it is now becoming clear just how lopsided President Obama’s victory was in some cities: in dozens of urban precincts, Mitt Romney earned literally zero votes.”

“The Phildadelphia Inquirer reported today that, in 59 precincts in inner-city Philadelphia, the GOP nominee received not a single vote. And according to the Cleveland Plain Dealer, nine precincts in Cleveland returned zero Romney votes.”

“At first blush, it seems almost impossible: how, even in some of the most heavily Democratic strongholds in the country, could a major party’s presidential candidate fail to earn even one vote?”

🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
http://politicalwire.com/

“If the Beechworth Tattler ran a salacious article about the local Greens candidate and Tony Abbott. It would be right around the world in minutes.”

and the Greens candidate would be certified and locked up for her own well being indefinitely.

If you want to help with the child abuse issue. Post stories to the social media. These sites are VERY VERY helpful: Linkedin Twitter Facebook Stumbleupon Delicious reddit Tumblr Digg Pinterest Google Plus and Yahoo. You may need to sign up for some.
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In Pinterest and Yahoo you can make your own categories. This is important. A suggested category for this subject is Catholic Church child sex abuse priest’s It accurately reflects what people will be looking for in Google.

Retired bishop says Pell an ’embarassment’
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A retired bishop has slammed Australia’s most senior Catholic, Cardinal George Pell, as an embarrassment, saying priests must be prepared to break the confessional seal if it is for the “greater good”.

Bishop Geoffrey Robinson says Cardinal Pell is out of step with the majority of Australia’s bishops and should no longer speak for the Catholic Church in Australia on the issue of sexual abuse by the clergy.

They are ganging up on him 🙂
More here..
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-11-14/retired-bishop-says-pell-an-embarassment/4371794

From the Votemaster
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Yesterday the Republican Senate caucus elected Sen. Jerry Moran (R-KS) as chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. They had to elect Moran, despite the fact that he is freshman and hails from a state with few big donors, because nobody else wanted the job.

Seems as if the Republicans are stuffed. The tax issue and immigration are going to put the Democrats in a very strong position for 2014. Now all they need to do is fix the Gerrymander.

More here….
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Nov15.html#item-1

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