Thing is I’ve watched this movie four times now. And that – in and of itself – bothers me. There are conflicts present in the script – not spoken so much – just the noise between the lines. I’m on the fence, is it junk or is it a milestone?
Categories
705 replies on “Promethius … science, religion, or something else?”
Chris B,
The thing is, you need to compare the Senate with 2006, the Presidential race with 2008 and the House of Representatives election with 2010.
In 2006, the Democrats picked up 53.2 per cent of the vote. Anything less than that is a swing against them, meaning that they will lose seats.
In 2008, Obama won 52.9 per cent of the vote. Anything less than that is a swing against him, meaning that he will lose electoral college votes.
In 2010, the House Democrats won 44.8 per cent of the vote. Anything more than that is a swing to them, meaning that they will pick up seats.
This is why you can have the Democrats losing Senate seats, losing electoral college votes and yet winning House seats.
As to polls taking a week to move, Romney’s numbers started going up in the days after the first debate. I do not think that videos change things all that much, unless they are straight from the candidate (the 47 per cent comes to mind). But most of the time events do not impact all that much. The debate win by Romney was an annoying exception …
501 Got it. Thanks David.
Obama still leads in 8 battleground states.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/27/2012-polls-lead_n_2031046.html
Tea Party Polls: Allen West, Joe Walsh Among Incumbents In Trouble, PPP Data Finds.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/28/tea-party-polls_n_2035555.html
Meet the Press: Rachel Maddow: Mitt Romney’s Campaign Has A ‘Truthfulness Problem’ (VIDEO).
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/28/rachel-maddow-mitt-romney-truthfulness_n_2035082.html
This’ll really lose it for Romney: Meat Loaf leaves a bad taste, again. 🙂
http://www.theage.com.au/entertainment/music/meat-loaf-leaves-a-bad-taste-again-20121029-28e4d.html
🙂 🙂 JENNY O’Connor, pictured left, is the first Greens candidate to be elected to any level of government in the North East. 🙂 🙂
http://www.bordermail.com.au/story/426178/jenny-the-regions-first-green/?cs=11
Delicious. I mean added to Delicious. 🙂 Facebook Liked, Plus, reddit, Stumbleupon, LinkIn, Digg and Pinterest. That should get you more coverage Jenny. Congrats and well done again.
Its linked via an article about Eric the 18 year old councilor in the Age.
507
How Green was our councillor?
They should make it into a mini series. 🙂
Bloody hearty congrats Jen!
Meanwhile, it’s farewell to a great little furry Australian. 🙁
http://media.crikey.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/ValeJasper.jpg
Thanks Chris-
getting heaps of coverage – some with better photos :))
Support for Labor up in latest Newspoll.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-10-29/support-for-labor-up-in-latest-newspoll/4338240
Rasmussen polls.
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Rasmussen were 6% out at the mid terms.
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Oct29.html#item-10
Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: We move MA-Sen from ‘Tossup’ to ‘Lean D’
Signs of a bigger swing on.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/29/1151723/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Morning-Digest-We-move-MA-Sen-from-Tossup-to-Lean-D
Early Voting in Nevada Makes Democrats Optimistic.
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More indications of a bigger swing.
http://www.rollcall.com/news/early_voting_in_nevada_gives_democrats_optimism-218495-1.html
Bob Kerrey Closes In On Reclaiming His Nebraska Senate Seat.
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More evidence of a Democratic surge.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/10/29/bob-kerrey-closes-in-on-reclaiming-his-nebraska-senate-seat.html
This is before Hurricane Sandy.
Obama Predicts War in GOP if He’s Re-Elected
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The longer this war goes the bigger effect on the mid terms in 2014.
As long as the Democrats do some populist things in the next two years. The mid terms could be quite a shake up. But there is a LONG time to go for that.
http://politicalwire.com
Daily KOS
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More…
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/29/1152168/-Battleground-snapshot-8-days-out
Election maps excluding all Rasmussen polls.
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Oct29-noras.html
Polling companies under polled the Latino vote in Nevada in 2010 by 6 to 8%. Could the same apply elsewhere?
8 percent of Latinos have already voted early, enthusiasm up again in final week.
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More here..
http://www.latinodecisions.com/blog/2012/10/29/8-percent-of-latinos-have-already-voted-early-enthusiasm-up-again-in-final-week/
Campaigns See Latino Voters as Deciders in 3 Key States.
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More here..
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/19/us/politics/in-3-crucial-states-both-campaigns-press-for-latino-voters.html?_r=0
Virginia: Tim Kaine Up 7 in New Poll.
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Another indication of a Democratic surge. Although there is an Elizabeth Warren Poll showing a tie in Massachusetts. Is it an outlier? Who knows?
More here…
http://atr.rollcall.com/virginia-tim-kaine-up-7-in-new-poll/
The electoral vote map is a bit more optimistic than I am. I think North Carolina will fall to Romney. That is my 303 maximum for Obama. I think that there is a chance that Virginia and/or Colorado could fall as well. But Obama is still in good position (although nowhere near where I thought that he would be).
One thing I worry about, though, is the discrepancy between national polling and state polling. Nate Silver has not really addressed this. Why is Romney ahead in 4 of the 10 national polls, with Obama ahead in 3 and with 3 ties? If you take out Rasmussen – because you like doing that – that makes the race pretty much even. Could Obama lose the vote but win the electoral college?
(Slightly better than winning the vote but losing the electoral college, I guess … 😉 )
The Republican surge happened mainly in the South in Confederate states. (Go figure). 🙂 Rather than all over whereas The Democrats kept the lead everywhere else.
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If you take out Rasmussen – because you like doing that (Maybe if you read the accompanying documentation on the page you will see why). I think you will find Nate Silver weighs Rasmussen accordingly.
Yes, Nate Silver does. But even with that weighting the polls show that the national race is very close indeed. I guess that if the Republican surge is happening in the south that would account for it. (And I guess Florida is a big population state, so Romney winning there would give him some extra votes).
I’m not sure whether the surge happened in Florida. On the polling I think not. Just the states that were in the Confederacy. Which maybe why North Carolina has gone back to the Republican Party. The exception is Virginia which has been flooded by Northerners in the North of the state. ie people from Washington.
Take it back. Florida was in the Confederacy. But it doesn’t seem to have had a surge like the other slave states. Basically from North Carolina around to Texas.
There not enough computer geeks in North Carolina yet to counter the rednecks. There is a big tech boom in NC.
Rachel Maddow video: Storm effectively ends presidential campaign
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More of the media are calling out Mitt Romney.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26315908/vp/49604136#49604136
Just what Mitt Romney doesn’t want to hear.
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The Huffington Post has been down, (Withdrawal symptoms setting in).
More here on the improvised HP.
http://status.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/30/chris-christie-praises-obamas-storm-response/
Chris Christie Zings Mitt Romney
http://shar.es/c8F1O
535 That was on Faux News too.
Latest Swing State Polls
Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:
Colorado: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Project New America)
Florida: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)
Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (SurveyUSA)
North Carolina: Romney 50%, Obama 45% (SurveyUSA)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby)
Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (SurveyUSA)
Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Project New America)
Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)
http://politicalwire.com
Its a whole new ball game after hurricane Sandy.
Are Polls Missing Cell Phone Users?
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http://politicalwire.com
I bet they are missing Latinos voters too. But it doesn’t matter after hurricane Sandy anyway.
God it not a Republican.
Firstdog brilliantly sums up this sad and shameful day. 🙁
Advance Unaustralia Fair
http://t.co/u0L2Zqso
Massachusetts: New Poll Has Elizabeth Warren Up 7 Points Over Scott Brown
http://atr.rollcall.com/massachusetts-new-poll-has-elizabeth-warren-up-7-points-over-scott-brown/
.
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Virginia: Tim Kaine Up 7 in New Poll
http://atr.rollcall.com/virginia-tim-kaine-up-7-in-new-poll/
Obama just has to do what he does best. Governing.
Now Comes the Hard Part for the Campaigns
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More here…
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Oct31.html#item-1
Obama maintains lead in Ohio,
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Mire here…
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/31/presidential-polls-obama-ohio_n_2048550.html
First very positive reviews of Obama’s Hurricane job.
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Bye, bye Romney.
More here.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/31/1153285/-Poll-Overwhelming-support-for-Obama-s-hurricane-response
PS It doesn’t say how many were polled.
President Obama, Chris Christie make show of unity in tackling Hurricane Sandy cleanup.
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Obviously politics isn’t the most important thing here, but this was a lovefest that only Mitt Romney could hate.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/31/1153274/-President-Obama-Chris-Christie-make-show-of-unity-in-tackling-Hurricane-Sandy-cleanup
Where’s Mitt? Has anybody seen Mitt?
Obama’s crazy good polling day.
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This is BEFORE any kick in the polls for Hurricane Sandy.
George Bush and the Republicans got their boost from 911.
Now its Obama and the Democrats turn.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/31/1153153/-Obama-s-crazy-good-polling-day
Watch: Television News Starts Covering The Link Between Climate Change And Superstorm Sandy.
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More here…
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/10/31/1115261/watch-television-news-starts-covering-the-link-between-climate-change-after-superstorm-sandy/
Koch-Backed Groups Dropped At Least $95 Million On TV Ads In Presidential Race.
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Money flushed down the toilet. 🙂
More here…
http://thinkprogress.org/election/2012/10/31/1088241/koch-election-spending/
Obama’s new best friend.
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More here…
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/10/31/president-obama-s-new-jersey-gambit-centers-on-hurricane-sandy-relief.html
Mitt: NOW I LIKE FEMA
More positions than the Karma Sutra.
.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/31/mitt-romney-sandy_n_2049852.html
A comment from the ABC site.
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More here…
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-11-01/obama-tours-storm-ravaged-new-jersey/4345118
If Obama wins handsomely. The Tea Party will now blame hurricane Sandy. Not their bad policies. The ructions in the Republican Party may not happen. This time.
I do not think it is going to be a huge win for Obama. Last time, he won Indiana and North Carolina, which will definitely not happen this time.
He will also probably lose Florida, which he won last time.
That gives 303 as the maximum.
Virginia and Colorado are pretty even in the polls, so it is possible that he will do worse than 303.
http://www.nationaltimes.com.au/opinion/political-news/i-was-misquoted-in-attack-on-pm-laming-20121101-28lz8.html
I am the Hansard editor who was in the chamber at the time. It was Mr Laming.
Clarification: Mr Laming said ‘You are corrupt.’
http://tinyurl.com/suckitmap
This is my, ‘Suck it, Republicans!’ map. It would be hilarious (although scary) if this is what happened on election day. There would be exploding Republican heads all over the place …
darn it: try this http://tinyurl.com/ba9ec6f
557
DG
It’s a relief to hear that all Laming said was “You are corrupt”.
Listening to a clip of that exchange somewhere on the net (I’ve forgotten where) I thought I heard the word “slut” mentioned!
That would have been *seriously* off.
But even the “corrupt” quote got the speaker mighty cheesed off.
what a classic Dixer and reply by Greg Combet today.
Hope you were in there to see it David.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/blogs/the-pulse/politics-wrap-november-1-2012-20121101-28l88.html?reload=true
It’s official – I’m Counsellor O’Connor.
And never an unchaste word shall pass me lips.
This needs to go viral
Combets form guide
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YyQ1CR50KwU&feature=youtu.be
surely there is some urgent road works required right outside puffadders nest?
Indeed Gaffers
the odd bypass may be required
567
This would be the perfect opportunity for….JACKHAMMERS AT DAWN! 🙂
Bloomberg Endorses Obama, Saying Hurricane Sandy Affected Decision http://nyti.ms/SAJyUh
Congrats Jen! That’s a nice birthday present.
Well done, Jen. 🙂
New York Mayor Bloomberg endorses Obama.
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Wow! I didn’t see that one coming.
More here…
http://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919–election.html
563 Jen awesome Jen. Well done and congratulations.
564 Gaffhook The looks on the Liberal Party’s faces. Not happy Jan. Priceless.
Bloomberg Endorses Obama, Citing Climate Change.
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More here…
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?_r=0
Bloomberg Business Week: Its Global warming stupid.
http://www.tumblr.com/tagged/bloomberg-businessweek
Democrats Pulling In Sporadic Florida Voters.
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http://politicalwire.com
Chrysler Executive Calls Out Trump
The Detroit Free Press reports Donald Trump tweeted today that President Obama “is a terrible negotiator. He bails out Chrysler and now Chrysler wants to send all Jeep manufacturing to China–and will!”
The comment drew a heated tweet from Chrysler Group Vice President for Product Design Ralph Gilles: “You are full of shit!”
http://politicalwire.com
Mr. Burns Endorses Mitt Romney.
http://www.buzzfeed.com/zekejmiller/mr-burns-endorses-mitt-romney
For those (like me) who find the Waterhouse clan insufferable…..
Firstdog gallops to the rescue. 😆
http://media.crikey.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/EvilTom.jpg
Larry Flynt Offers Richard Mourdock a $1 Million Dollar Reward if He Can Prove His Dumbass Rape Statement.
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Barack Obama picked up the endorsement of Colin Powell (Republican) Michael Bloomberg (Republican). The nod and wink of Chris Christie (Republican). Mitt Romney suffered a news black out compliments of Hurricane Sandy. While Obama received a lot of praise and coverage. I expect there will be a big boost for Obama come voting time. Things point to a landslide.
Obama’s approval rating for handling the hurricane situation is 78%.
Obama Collects Romney’s Auto-Bailout Missteps Into Brutal Web Video.
http://www.buzzfeed.com/zekejmiller/obama-collects-romneys-auto-bailout-missteps-into
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I hope this ad is playing a lot. A brilliant advertisement! The final nail in the coffin.
Here’s right-wing pollster genius Dean Chambers’ projected election map.
http://updates.gawker.com/post/34784934842/heres-right-wing-pollster-genius-dean-chambers
According to the Democrats they are well ahead of the Republicans in Florida compared to the same time in 2008.
Mitt Romney profited from the automobile bailout by over 1,000%. Then blackmailed GM into giving their company higher prices.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/45755822/ns/msnbc-the_ed_show/#49651463
A phone poll on the Ed Show. Who do you trust the most to be President? Barack Obama or Mitt Romney. Obama 98% Romney 2%.
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I will point out that it is not scientific. 🙂
Poll: Obama Re-Emerges As Favorite In Wisconsin, Opens Up 8-Point Lead.
http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/10/marquette-poll-obama-leads-wisconsin.php.
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Its clear Obama has returned to where he was situated pre the first debate. The pummeling Romney has copped over his lying and the good coverage Obama received over his handling of the hurricane. Obama is in for a landslide.
Rachael Maddow. Summing up the Romney Obama campaigns.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26315908/#49651917
Andrew Cuomo. We are now having once in one hundred years storms every two years and some people are still in denial.
Chris
No doubt this will boost Mitts chances when it goes viral.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5t6t113syr0&feature=youtu.be
Mitts fake Sandy relief effort.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzR3kxdfWzY&feature=youtu.be
Right ticsters. If you missed it tonight on the wireless, don’t miss Mark Colvin’s Andrew Olle lecture which will be shown on ABC1 11.15 pm Sun. It’s an absolute cracker!!
The Senate Democratic caucus could get a progressive upgrade.
Awesome. Especially Connecticut. After Joseph Lieberman.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/01/1153797/-The-Senate-Democratic-caucus-could-get-a-progressive-upgrade
592 Gaffhook It certainly would if it came earlier. They left it a bit late. Not that I think it is needed. The Democrats are doing everything right and Romney is copping a pounding in the media.
Unemployment steady at 7.9%
US Economy Adds 171,000 Jobs In October.
Whoops. Botched that.
When did Nebraska’s Senate race become competitive?
Yet another indication that things are going well for the Democrats.
More here…
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/01/1153934/-When-did-Nebraska-s-senate-race-become-competitive