We are about to witness the biggest landslide in US political history. Everything is against the Republicans. History tells us that no incumbent party overlooking such an economic disaster, survives. Everything is pointing to wipeout. Never mind the fact that the Democrats have 8 out of the top 10 major issues going for them. None of that counts when it comes to the economy. Bill Clinton won well when the economy was on the down turn. This is different, the economy is an unmitigated disaster, who are they going to blame?
The Republicans.
It doesn’t matter that they have the most corrupt US government ever, the war in Iraq doesn’t matter. The “200 year old man” running for president doesn’t matter. Neither does the hillbilly running for VP. Forget about Hurricane Katrina, the health care in a mess, returned soldiers being in squalid conditions in hospitals. None of that matters. It’s the economy stupid! If you didn’t hear that, it’s THE ECONOMY STUPID!
To sum it all up, I give you Obama’s latest ad, which I couldn’t have said better.
1,290 replies on “It's the economy stupid!”
This is the video of the second night of Letterman vs McCain.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=59S8CMXXvWI
Sort video of a Fox News focus group, who mostly came out for Obama. Some interesting comments that reflect some of the observations here. And it must have killed Fox News to have that reaction on their broadcast.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wup4nsIWe8A
1098
EC
I rest my case!
Little Johnny Winston Howard outs himself as an “intuitive” racial bigot on Sep Radio.
“Prager asks Howard: ‘Why is it that English-speaking countries tend to share values and fight evil?”
http://thinkprogress.org/2008/09/27/prager-howard-english/
(download the You-Tube radio )
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dennis_Prager
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http://xkcd.com/
This seat was considered safe earlier in the week
http://www.courier-journal.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080927/NEWS0106/809270303&referrer=FRONTPAGECAROUSEL
First Presidential Debate: Obama Makes Important Personal and National Security Gains.
http://www.democracycorps.com/focus/2008/09/first-presidential-debate-obama-makes-important-personal-and-national-security-gains/
http://www.mgwashington.com/index.php/news/article/dole-boosts-travel-to-nc-in-election-year/1785/
Palin has become a liability. They are hiding her from the press even when she should be being used to support her leader.
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/09/27/the_spin_room.html
Democratic spouses push Florida voter registration drive.
http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics/campaign-2008/story/704499.html
I thought this was interesting analysis about the debate. Proof that the pick of Palin for VP negated the Republican argument about experience against Obama.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/greg-mitchell/why-did-so-many-pundits-f_b_129880.html
Next Generation Veterans ad for Obama…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mS1_uw_N2Wg
And this is sucha a scary but bold ad for Obama.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EzuIHjQYW2c&feature=user
It is now very clear that McCain ‘going to Washington’ was a big mistake. Rasmussen, the pollster that I trust most, and Gallup, my number two, both have McCain sliding and Obama surging. My take on the debate is that it will not help McCain. A senate deal might stop the slide, but I do not think it will help McCain, either. While we still have quite a bit of time left, I cannot see anything that would assist McCain narrow the gap sufficiently to be within striking distance by election day. With Florida and North Carolina now in play for Obama, and a lead for him in Virginia, I suspect that my 298 prediction will be exceeded.
Found via DailyKos, I think this is a good read on the debate…
http://www.balloon-juice.com/?p=11439
1113 David Gould Rassmussan is good Ann Selzer is much better.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/pollster%20ratings
1114 KatieLou Nicely summed up KatieLou. That might be why there were different reads on the debate. McCain supporters saw what they liked.
Chris B,
However, she only surveys a few states.
Yes, David, but Ann does them so well. She’s the most accurate of them all.
What’s the matter with you, Gouldie, havn’t you been reading the blogs Nate Silver has been posting lately? He reckons Selzer is red hot while Raspo is doodley-squat. Do the math, old son 🙂
1118 Enemy Combatant He’s a pessimist EC. 😈
I watched the full debate last night and it was a no-brianer. Obama was comfortable, calm, and measured while McCain was visibly defensive and uncomfortable. No dramas from either candidate and no slam dunks – but the thing that remain in my memory was the feeling that McCain felt a sense of annoyance at having to go though the motions with that young upstart, and at the same time knowing that the young upstart could actually take away his last shot at validating himself and his own life story.
I reckon this guy has been reading our blog. Snap!
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/09/27/BAAG135POG.DTL&type=politics
Obama wins debate after McCain spanks him.
I missed that bit. 😈
http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080927/BLOG08/80927012&imw=Y
It’s the headlines that count. If we can see this online so can the Yanks.
Cool Obama wins debate on points.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/us_elections/article4837692.ece
It’s a frequent criticism of Obama. I think he and his campaign team must know what they’re doing, because it’s working. McCain’s temperament is a real negative for him.
County GOP official removed for remarks.
http://www.mercurynews.com/news/ci_10578127
Vale, Paul Newman:
Ned Lamont remembers how Newman supported him in the 2006 CT Senate race against Joey “The Rat” Lieberman.
http://firedoglake.com/2008/09/27/ned-lamont-remembers-paul-newman/
Newman’s best movie, imho, was all about character. As is this campaign.
Mentioned it onsite (over there, actually) many moons ago.
http://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20020623/REVIEWS08/206230301/1023
No failure to communicate here.
http://au.youtube.com/watch?v=xYqwYrbwHeM&eurl=http://www.crooksandliars.com/
Yes, Catrina, as actual debates go it was pretty ordinary, but of course it wasn’t really about debating, it was about selling themselves to seasonally switched-on independent and undecided voters, with the greatest political prize on the planet up for grabs. Obi reassured the britches off them according to the polls done immediately post debate. And those figures are yet to be factored into the national and State polls. Be surprised if The Kid doesn’t pick up 2-3 % in RasPo, Gallup, Quin-uh-pee-ack and natch, that doyenne of precision pollsters, Ann Selzer.
CBet, Board odds (fresh).
OBAMA, Barack 1.42 (firmed 20 cents this week)
MCCAIN, John 2.75 (drifted 50 cents this week)
“This sure woz the week wot dunnit for The Kid, guvnah!”
http://www.rgemonitor.com/us-monitor/253782/the_paulson_plan_a_useful_first_step_but_nowhere_near_enough
The author of this opinion piece is a former member of the board of the BoE. I think has has nailed the situation.
1126 Enemy Combatant
He can still build on that. This is just the beginning.
“This sure woz the week wot dunnit for The Kid, guvnah!”
On the Kentucky senate poll.
http://www.courier-journal.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080927/NEWS0106/809270303&referrer=FRONTPAGECAROUSEL
If you allow for the Mason-Dixon error factor the Repugs are in one hell of a lot of trouble.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/pollster%20ratings
Ups and downs of presidential politics.
It’s interesting to note the one blunder Joe Biden made, David picked up on, but hasn’t made a fuss over the massive blunders of Sarah Palin.
http://www.dailyherald.com/story/?id=238791
A blast from Greg Palast.
http://www.truthout.org/video/greg-palast-rove-has-already-fixed-2008-election
CNN Politics.
Fact Check: Does McCain almost always agree with Bush?
The Facts:
Verdict: True
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/26/fact-check-does-mccain-almost-always-agree-with-bush/
The bankers are already trying to strip the bailout of the protection clauses the Dems put in there for protection for taxpayers:
http://www.opednews.com/articles/After-Kneeling-Banks-Swag-by-Dean-Powers-080928-832.html
Your task if you should accept is to open this link and find out where you are positioned in relation to some very poorly paid Seppos, some of whom are probably ready to be classed as Battlers.
http://abcnews.go.com/Business/Economy/story?id=5876413
This is the problem with free and unregulated markets – the only focus is as much profits as possible and now with less reponsibility and risk as possible.
We will get these things along with collusion, predatory pricing and profiteering until such time as we have criminal charges, where transgressions of the law are not just a financial risk to be absorbed on balance sheets but personal risks that lead to jail.
They have shown they can be trusted, cannot self regulate and are not remorseful for the disaster they have brought or even think they have done wrong and, want the powers to go and do the same again. Manadatory 5 year jail terms for transgressions of regulations should keep operational executives honest.
cannot be trusted
Bill Maher’s new movie.
http://www.lionsgate.com/religulous/index2.html
He’s picking on religions, I wonder if he’ll have a heart attack like Father Ted.
Maybe they’ll find a new way, like a car accident or a plane crash. Helicopter has been done recently, although they did mean to get JJ Cale.
Gaffy@1134,
So is this the Paulson who ,along with Bernancke, is pushing for the $700 billion bailout?
“Annual Income……
2006 Henry Paulson $129,087,000 $34,900,000 total-$163,987,000
2005 Henry Paulson $600,000 $3,363,422 total- $3,963,422
2004 Henry Paulson $600,000 $11,660,000total- $12,260,000 ”
A cool $US164mil in one year alone?
They haven’t done a loner hearing voices for a while.
Here’s Obama’s new ad. Just let it run you don’t have to donate to see the ad. (you can’t in Australia).
https://donate.barackobama.com/page/contribute/debatevideo1?source=20080927_DP_ND
1139
Megan
A better intro probably would have been can you spot the charlatan or shyster?
Breakthrough Reached in Negotiations on Bailout.
May need to register.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/28/business/28bailout.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin
Will this be a “snow job” or the opening of a tin of “grubs”
DOJ to Release Long-Awaited Report on US Attorney Firings Monday:
http://www.opednews.com/articles/DOJ-to-Release-Long-Awaite-by-Jason-Leopold-080926-278.html
Tina Fey as Sarah & Amy Poehler as Katie Couric on SNL:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/09/27/tina-fey-as-sarah-palin-k_n_129956.html
The Kid makes McStupid look sad as to how good his statements were about Eyerark!
Top of the first and she is 4 up and 4 down!
Obama on McCain and Iraq Proven Correct in Video
http://www.opednews.com/articles/Obama-on-McCain-and-Iraq-P-by-Steven-Leser-080927-892.html
EC @ 1145
Here’s the official link to it at SNL’s website on MSNBC:
http://www.nbc.com/Saturday_Night_Live/video/clips/couric-palin-open/704042/
Here is also the link to SNL’s spoof on the first Presidential Debate:
http://www.nbc.com/Saturday_Night_Live/video/clips/presidential-debate/704121/
All totally hilarious viewing!
1146 Gaffhook People can still rate that YouTube Video, click in the middle of the video it then takes you to YouTube. Give it a five star rating and save it to my favourites. This gives it a high ranking in YouTube. That means more people will get to see it. You can also put it on your blog or website. Maybe you would like to send it to your friends.
For those who missed it, the best exchange of the night, on one of the Stateside blogs
“McCain couldn’t look a black guy in the eye…
—–yeah, but this one was asking for change!”
The Votemaster is chock full of good stuff for Obama. Definitely a must read. Including one for David on how young and minority voters are under polled.
http://www.electoral-vote.com
From CBS News’ Scott Conroy:
Palin Contradicts McCain On Pakistan, Seems To Back Obama’s Position
Cheers, Froggy, liked the first one better but the recent effort had some excellent moments. Tina and the SNL writers will glom a motza of new material from the Veep nominee’s “debate”. By the time Tina’s done with her over the ensuing SNLs, Palin will be political roadkill.
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http://news.yahoo.com/comics/doonesbury;_ylt=A0WTUdZiZ99IyFwA1yADwLAF
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I have just read this op-ed piece and in it at the end is a link to remarks made by Congressman McFadden to Congress in 1934.
It is a fairly long read but after reading it there is every reason why lots of Seppo Politicians and CEO’s should be mowing lawns and taking out the garbage at Gitmo now and for quite a long period of time. They should only be released when they can relate his remarks verbatim without any notes.
http://www.opednews.com/articles/FED-A-Gigantic-Private-Cre-by-Gene-Cappa-080927-106.html
His remarks to congress are here:
http://www.knology.net/~bilrum/McFadden_on_Fed.htm
That’s very funny, Gipper:)
Richard Pryor would have worked that line a treat.
1149 Gippslander Had to stop and think about that one. Good one.
1152 Enemy Combatant They get a ratings boost just on that alone.
It’s almost like an everyday occurrence. The bastards never give up do they.
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/53024.html
Some dastardly news I’m afraid, dear Ticsters.
The United States of America is in grave danger of being swamped by “Welfare Whitey”.
These scum are sucking the juice right out of your unconceived children’s veins!!
http://au.youtube.com/watch?v=s3XZmbBBXLQ
Four major polls gave Obama 5 – 6% the day before the debate. If all the instant polls are right Obama should expect a boost in the next week, maybe more from McCain’s chicken act as well. Taking into account the under polling of youth and minority voting. Obama’s looking good.
“Why cant John McCain multi-task?”
He’s trying to deal with a multi-dimensional world in a ‘flat-liner’ /two-dimensional way.
“Barack Obama said a sensible thing the other day when John McCain announced he was suspending his presidential campaign and flying back to Washington to help secure a giant bailout of America’s financial system. Never mind that McCain seemed to have no particular ideas about how to do that—the early evidence is that he might have encouraged the GOP caucus in stalling the $700 billion deal—and that he seemed content to garner his photo op with George W. Bush at the White House. This was the second time the Republican candidate has declared he was dropping everything to focus on one problem (the first was Hurricane Gustave). Obama reasonably responded that he himself would stay on the stump. He explained his decision by remarking: “It is going to be part of the president’s job to deal with more than one thing at once.
“Thank you, Barack Obama. Though in truth, the Illinois senator was being far too generous (he’s really got to stop being so polite). It’s not going to be the American president’s job; it is his job and has been for decades. It’s just that it’s been so long since we’ve actually seen a president perform this job as he should. We seem to have forgotten that the responsibility of the person in the Oval Office is to oversee, day by day, a vast, multidimensional international system, one in which economic, security and social problems are all intertwined and must be balanced against each other. It is a mind-bogglingly complex job, the hardest task in the world. It is, in fact, much more challenging than it was even during the cold war, a period defined by an overarching bipolar conflict. And yet we have endured seven and a half years of an administration that has sought to turn this multidimensional world into “Flatland,” to invoke the classic mathematical satire by Edward Abbott, which imagined a world of just two dimensions rather than three.”
Worth a squiz.
http://www.newsweek.com/id/161002
Great article Megan, may I suggest their might be a copyright issue if you put too much in our site?
Oops…never thought of that,Chris!
Thanks!
Should I delete it?
My ‘L’ plate showing… 🙂
Chris, let’s not go there, mate.
Delete it and put 1/4 back on.
megan, post as you will and fargeddaboudit:)
Compass next week is doing an article on Patrick Henry College which has put fundamentalist Interns into the Whitehouse than any college has put Interns.
Thanks,Ecky,
had me a wee bit spooked!!
After all,how much of a quote is too much?
A bit like a little bit pregnant?
1166 Enemy Combatant Don’t forget we have people watching that would like us to fail.
Just trying to err on the side of caution.
Can the Interns be purged?
Yep,appreciate it ,Chris.
Not too good at the fan-dangling ‘reference/copy/paste’ acrobatics…
Certainly increases my admiration for the skills displayed by so many of you.
No worries. You’re doing a good job for an “L” plates.
The only way you learn on these new fangled things, is on the run. Don’t forget to hit the “any” key. Then F13.
Chris B, even if Newsweek were gunning for this blog site, the admonition at the end of Megan’s comment ..”worth a squiz”..which means “go look at the website”… would cut the ground under any complaint!
I expect that MSM websites get much traffic as a result of citations in this and other blogs, so they would be going against their own interest in acting churlishly
Yeah, thanks it wasn’t them who I was concerned about. More like 3 amigos trying to sully us.
If you think it’s ok then I’m fine.
Goodnight all. Going to dream about the new polls coming up.
Fair enough, Chris, it’s an incredibly complex issue to become involved in. Should we be leant on by parties with motives nefarious or proprietorial, we could turn it into a “Blog Minnows V Communications Corporation” cause celebre, but it would distract us from the fun and drama of main event.
My 2 cents worth is that if you want to get into the copyright issue, then maybe Cat would consider a dedicated discussion thread in the Pages section of our links.
Being afraid to post stuff here is not what we’re about. In a certain way, fear to post freely accessible information from cyberspace is reminiscent of the subservience to authority that anti-terrorist measures at airports etc. have induced in a sheepish citizenry. One smart-arse crack from a citizen to a bag searcher could have serious consequences regarding said citizen’s immediate liberty. This is in Australia, by hagiography a land of larrikins.
“Give up your civil rights and freedoms because we’re only trying to protect you” .
Three paragraphs from Newsweek posted here with a link of acknowledgement is wonderful publicity for them.
We are not afraid of these people, Chris:)
‘Can the Interns be purged?’ Never.
Cigared apparently. 🙂
I wonder if Obama’s reluctance to get tough/angry or personal is to do with race and being careful to not invoke in racist cues in people.
TP @ 1181 et al.
IMO our boy is following the old biblical adage.. “love your enemies.. it’ll drive them crazy!”
The nearest anyone has got to laying a punch on him was in the pastor affair, when the commentariat nearly painted him as
“another uppity niggra”.
their frustration since then blew up in the absurd “lipstick pig” affair.
BO has got Biden as his attack dog, and a very nice job he’s doing. BO is the good cop in this scenario, and he’s doing a superb job.
1182 Gippslander Going by that. Biden will attack on Friday morning. But the Republicans, not Palin. Just being there, and talking will bring her undone. 😈
Apparently, Peter Garret has saved the day, in the bailout. More on the Midinight Oil negotiations.
http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/regg-obama-and-mccain-played-roles-2008-09-28.html
I’m sorry, I couldn’t help it the temptation was too great. 😈
Obama Marvels at the ‘Crazy’ 2008 Campaign.
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/09/28/obama_marvels_at_the_crazy_200.html
First poll with some of the debate included.
Obama’s National Lead Grows.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110740/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Moves-50-42-Lead.aspx
USA Today/Gallop Poll: Obama Did Better in First Debate.
http://www.abcnews.go.com/Politics/story?id=5902766&page=1
Real Clear Politics Average up .5
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html
The loose percentage on 538 has dropped from around 25% to 19%
Looking good. Obama just has to play it safe from here on in. The Republicans will destroy themselves.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/09/essential-difference.html
Further to 1151
From CNN’s Emily Sherman:
McCain Retracts Palin’s Pakistan Comments
So hang on, so we cant count on something Palin says as being her position. She’s the VP candidate, but she can blurt out anything and its just a microphone being stuck where it shouldn’t??? This guy has no idea.
Polls looking very nice by the way. Loved the McCain winning ad- scary stuff, but should have Palin being sworn in as VP just to add to the fear!!
1190 GhostWhoVotes Thanks for backing up 1189.
While I don’t wish the financial crisis on the US or the world, one positive effect is that this election is (thankfully) not being fought on values. By and large, Americans are too preoccupied with money to be bothered about values. So the questions of patriotism, for example, have dissipated. The expected attacks on Michelle Obama have so far not materialised. I think the financial crisis may have some benefit in negating some of the effect of racism as well (just some).
But given McCain is set to lose, my prediction is that he’s going to try to turn the debate towards values and character. So get set for some nastiness. Last week’s stunt didn’t work – I think the next distraction will be a whole lot more dirty. It will backfire, I think. But what is left?
Ditching Sarah Palin would be a distraction – they may well do that. But if they want to try to make the election about values, perhaps they need Palin to hang around?
Looks like Myth Busted if this story is true. Her big splurge about working against the big oil companies means that she is actually working for them. Fairly long read and it appears the gas line is not going to feed the “lower 48” but anly as far as Alberta to extract the dirty oil from the Alberta tar sands:
Fresh Hot Lies: McCain & Palin’s Pipeline to Doom
http://www.opednews.com/articles/1/Fresh-Hot-Lies-McCain–P-by-Dennis-Greenia-080928-713.html
1191 Andrew “We” keep saying how dumb the Americans are, I suspect even the most moderate can see what is going on here. But if not the comedians will soon sort them out.
Saturday Night Live
The Daily Show
The Colber Repor (the “t” is silent)
Bill Maher
Katielou – I think you are right about that. There is no doubt that McCain and the Republicans will begin dishing the dirt on Obama (and Biden) in a BIG way from now on. It’s all they have left. I noticed last night that Fox News has brought out the Ayers issue again, reporting some new evidence of “strong” ties between Ayers and Obama. The dirt is already coming… McCain will be getting more and more desperate now.
The extent to which the McCain camp is hiding Palin highlights just how terrible she is. I’m sure they appreciate that the lack of media access is not a good look. Isn’t this supposed to be the candidate that had excited and energised the Repugs??
Interesting to see the Obama camp praise Palin for her previous Alaska debates. Good work at expectations management
By Obama playing it “safe” that gives the comedians only McCain to play with. They are not going to give up an opportunity like that. It will help SNL ratings to no end. (They need it).
The comedians will have by far the biggest impact on this election, than any group of people. They are talking to the independents, swinging voters and moderates. We only need 5% of voters to change sides to make 10% of difference. (Take 5% off the Republicans and put 5% on the Democrats). That is landslide material.
Then add on your Latinos, African Americans and Youth Vote. It’s like icing on a cake. No wonder the Republicans are putting GOP on the how to vote cards instead of Republican. They can see it coming.
It certainly looking extremely bad for McCain at the moment. I do not see how he can come close to victory now. I would pretty much guarantee at this point that Obama will exceed my predictions of 298 unless something very weird happens. The Gallup poll is very interesting – a very good day for Obama fell out, but Obama still improved. Obviously, my take on the debate was not shared by the voters.
(Not that I thought that the debate would swing voters to McCain in any way – I thought it would be neutral, though.)